The Miami Marlins (5-7) are set to conclude a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (4-7) on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
The Marlins defeated the Phillies 8-4 on Tuesday with 2B Luis Arraez becoming the first player in franchise history to hit for the cycle. Miami has lost 3 of its last 5 games.
The Phillies have gone 3-2 in their last 5 games after beginning the season with a 1-5 record. Philadelphia recently received good news with OF Bryce Harper getting cleared to hit, so he’ll just need to be cleared to slide before he returns to the field following elbow surgery in the offseason.
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Marlins at Phillies projected starters
RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Zack Wheeler
Cabrera (0-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.25 WHIP, 17.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 6 2/3 IP.
- Has walked a league-high 13 batters in his first 2 starts of the season
- Career starts vs. Phillies: 1-1 record with a 1.64 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 8.2 K/9 in 11 IP over 2 starts
Wheeler (0-1, 5.59 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.
- Has tallied a 10-4 record with a 2.41 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 10.0 K/9 in 123 1/3 IP in 19 career starts vs. Marlins
- Has thrown 90-plus pitches in each of his first 2 starts of the season but has yet to go longer than 5 1/3 IP
Marlins at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:49 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Phillies -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Marlins 4
Moneyline
AVOID.
The Phillies (-190) are favored to win with Wheeler on the mound, but he’s struggled to begin the season. Taking Philadelphia at the current odds is not worth the risk.
Run line/Against the spread
MARLINS +1.5 (-125) is the pick in this NL East showdown. Cabrera has struggled with walks, but Wheeler hasn’t looked like his usual self either in his first 2 starts.
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Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean in this matchup with how these teams are swinging the bat in this series. The Over is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between these clubs and the Phillies are 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games against a team from the NL East.
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