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The Miami Marlins (1-10) and New York Yankees (9-2) meet Tuesday as they play the 2nd game a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: New York leads 1-0
The Marlins opened their season with 9 straight losses. They snapped that skid with a Sunday triumph at the St. Louis Cardinals but were then dumped 7-0 in the Monday lid-lifter to this series at Yankee Stadium. Miami had just 2 hits Monday and has clocked a mere .586 OPS for the the season.
The Yankees rode a strong pitching performance by LHP Nestor Cortes and 3-run home runs by SS Anthony Volpe and RF Juan Soto in Monday’s win. New York has won 3 straight games, slashing a .294/.412/.533 (.945 OPS) along the way.
Marlins at Yankees projected starters
LHP A.J. Puk vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Puk (0-2, 9.00 ERA) is making his 3rd start this season. He has registered a 2.83 WHIP, 13.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 6 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 10-2 loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.86 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6 relief appearances
- Prior to this year, had appeared in 142 career games, all as a reliever
Rodon (0-0, 2.79 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start. He owns a 1.76 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 9 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-5 win at Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
- Career vs. Marlins: 1-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
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Marlins at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-135) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Marlins at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Marlins 4
Moneyline
PASS: no value here.
Run line/Against the spread
Miami’s last 9 losses have all been by multiple runs. A Yankee offense making better contact is more dangerous than what was a bottom-3rd group a year ago.
FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best leverage here: peg NEW YORK -1.5 (+112) as being worth a partial-unit play.
Over/Under
Both offenses have been hampered by some ball-in-play bad luck so far. Puk as a starter is a question mark, and he’s backed by a bullpen that has yielded too much hard contact while posting a 5.69 ERA.
Rodon is not the pitcher he was when he was notching a 2.67 ERA over 2021-22 for the Chicago White Sox. The veteran port-sider now runs into more bats and exhibits less control.
The Over 8 was a moderate-strength play Monday but didn’t cash when the Marlins failed to participate in the total. The OVER 8 (-115) is an even stronger play in this 2nd game.
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