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The Miami Marlins (57-99) and Minnesota Twins (81-75) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Miami won 2-1 last season
Miami lost 5-4 to the Atlanta Braves Sunday as a +169 home underdog. The Marlins scored 2 runs in the 6th to tie the game at 4 before allowing the eventual game-winning run in the 7th. Miami has lost back-to-back games.
Minnesota dropped a doubleheader Sunday to the Boston Red Sox, losing the 2nd game 9-3 as a -117 road favorite, after dropping the opener 8-1. The Twins have allowed at least 8 runs in 4 of their last 7 losses. Minnesota is 1 game out of a Wild Card spot, trailing the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers who are tied for the 2nd/3rd spots.
Marlins at Twins projected starters
LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Bailey Ober
Weathers (3-6, 3.94 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 75 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in an 8-4 outing vs. the LA Dodgers Wednesday
- First career start vs. Minnesota
Ober (12-7, 3.84 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 168 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in a 5-4 loss at Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
- First career start vs. Miami
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Marlins at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Marlins 4
Moneyline
PASS.
Minnesota is the much better team and is fighting for a playoff berth, so the Twins will pick up the win and cover here as -250 favorites. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET MARLINS +1.5 (-110).
Miami has played Minnesota very well the past few seasons, being 5-5 in the last 10 matchups. They won last year’s games 5-2 and 1-0, but their loss was by 11-1.
The Twins are also a very bad 71-85 ATS this season. But be aware that betting on a lesser team to cover ATS always comes with a risk.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Minnesota and is 5-0 in its last 5 home games. For the Marlins, the Over is also 6-3-1 in their last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 meetings between these teams in Minnesota and is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.
Be aware that the Under is 5-3-2 in Miami’s last 10 games.
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