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The Milwaukee Brewers (80-63) welcome the Miami Marlins (74-70) to American Family Field Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 1-0 after winning the series opener 12-0 Monday
The Brewers are 41-28 at home this season and are 6-4 over their last 10 games. Milwaukee holds a 3 game lead over the Chicago Cubs atop the NL Central.
The Marlins are 34-38 on the road this season and are 7-3 over their last 10 games. Miami is on the outside looking in on the playoff race, sitting 1 1/2 games back of the final NL Wild Card.
Marlins at Brewers projected starters
RHP JT Chargois vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Chargois (1-0, 3.63 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 38th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 34 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 2 K in an 11-4 home win vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday
- Last appearance: No-decision, 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in a 10-0 home loss vs. Dodgers Thursday
- 2023 road stats: 1-0, 5.40 ERA in 15 IP over 17 relief appearances
Peralta (11-8, 3.89 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 150 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-4 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday
- 2023 home stats: 6-4, 3.59 ERA in 82 2/3 IP in 15 starts
Marlins at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Brewers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The Marlins are in the bottom half of the league in road win percentage at 34-38, and they were blasted by the Brewers in the opener Monday. Milwaukee is 41-28 at home which ranks 7th in the MLB.
However, at (-165), I would still pass and look towards the spread for better value.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BREWERS -1.5 (+120).
The Marlins are starting a reliever and set to play a bullpen-heavy game Tuesday. However, that isn’t necessarily their strength as their relievers rank 18th in the MLB in ERA at 4.22.
Miami sits with the 5th-worst cover rate as a road underdog as well at 28-28. Back BREWERS -1.5 (+120).
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).
The Brewers have been on fire as of late, scoring 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 games. They are 5-1 O/U in those battles and are 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games.
Miami has similar trends. It has gone Over in 8 of its last 10 and has scored at least 4 runs in 2 of its last 3 games. It should find more success at the plate Tuesday.
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