The Miami Marlins (9-12) and Milwaukee Brewers (13-8) meet at American Family Field to open a three-game series Monday at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 2-1 with a 1.64 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 12.7 K/9, and 4.1 BB/9 in 22 IP over 4 starts. Rogers is coming off a superb outing against the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday (7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 K).
RHP Corbin Burnes is the projected starter for the Brewers. He is 2-1 with a 0.37 ERA, 0.33 WHIP, 14.8 K/9, and 0.0 BB/9 in 24 1/3 IP over 4 starts. Burnes has been ultra-consistent, pitching 6 or 6/13 IP each start, striking out between 9-11, and walking none. He has benefited from a .171 batting average on balls in play and a 100% left-on-base rate, but the Milwaukee right-hander has exhibited a significant uptick in velocity and has produced a tremendous 19.6% swinging-strike rate through four turns.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Marlins at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Marlins +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Brewers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Marlins 4, Brewers 3
Money line (ML)
Milwaukee closed out a six-game road trip with a 6-0 win at Wrigley Field Sunday. The Brewers won five of those six games and head into this week in first place in the NL Central. Miami dropped its series finale at the San Francisco Giants Sunday and is just 2-5 over its last 7 games.
The Fish don’t settle into an easy travel slot here, but Rogers gives them more than just a puncher’s chance. Miami has the better bullpen and it’s one with the best arms better rested.
BACK THE MARLINS (+150).
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Miami is a fair play at the current run-line tag. Consider the MARLINS +1.5 (-145) as a decent value, especially with such a low run total.
Over/Under (O/U)
Lean into some gravity on this play and BACK THE OVER 6 (-120). Neither offense is off to a great start and if the retractable roof is open for this one, the pitching stands to benefit from an inward breeze. But the starters’ surface numbers appear to be weighed too heavily here.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]