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The Miami Marlins (32-58) and Houston Astros (46-44) square off Tuesday as they swing into a 3-game series. First pitch in the lid-lifter at Minute Maid Park will be at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Houston won last year’s series 2-1
Miami defeated the Chicago White Sox Saturday and Sunday at home after having lost 5 straight games June 30-July 5. The Marlins head into this series ranked 29th in MLB in both runs (3.51 per game) and runs allowed (5.00).
The Astros are back at home after a 6-4 road trip. Half of those 4 losses came at the end of the trip: Houston lost back-to-back games at the Minnesota Twins Saturday and Sunday.
Marlins at Astros projected starters
LHP Trevor Rogers vs. TBD
Rogers (1-9, 4.91 ERA) is making his 18th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 7-2 home defeat vs. Boston Red Sox Wednesday
- Never faced Astros before
RHP Ronel Blanco is listed by some media outlets as the likely mound foe for Rogers. Blanco (8-3, 2.53 ERA) would be making his 17th start. He owns a 1.01 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 96 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 9-2 win at Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
- Never faced Marlins before
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Marlins at Astros odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Marlins +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Astros -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-118) | Astros -1.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +104 | U: -128)
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Marlins at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 6, Marlins 4
Moneyline
Lots of juice drowning out profit potential here. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Houston is 3-1 over its last 4 games against Miami, and the Astros have scored 6-plus runs in each of those wins. They’re the better club and are in better form heading into this series.
The Fish are 1-3 across their last 4 series openers. Houston is 4-1 over its last 5 lid-lifters.
TAKE THE ASTROS -1.5 (-102).
Over/Under
The total has gone Over in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games. The Over has cashed in 7 of Houston’s last 10 games. And in series meetings, the Over is 6-3 across the last 9.
With some all-around fade of the pitching and a healthy dose of respect for a Houston club that has found its way to a high-contact .811 OPS since June 19, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+104).
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