The Miami Marlins (36-29) and Chicago White Sox (29-37) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. White Sox and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Marlins scored 5 runs in the top of the 9th on Saturday to win 5-1 for their 7th victory in the last 8 games and 13th in the last 16. Miami has held their opponents under 2 runs per game over their last 10. The Marlins are 2nd in the NL East, 4 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Braves.
The White Sox look to win the series on the South Side of Chicago before heading out on a 6-game West Coast trip. Chicago has won 7 of their last 10 and held their opponents under 3 runs per game. The White Sox are 3rd in the AL Central, 4 1/2 games behind the Minnesota.
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Marlins at White Sox projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Lucas Giolito
Garrett (2-2, 4.47 ERA) will make his 12th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 58 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 6-4 home win vs Kansas City Royals Monday
- Away splits: 1-1, 2.70 ERA, .250 OBA, 9 ER in 30 IPs
- Has never faced the White Sox as a starter
Giolito (5-4, 3.75 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 74 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 3 BB, 7 K in a 3-2 road victory vs New York Yankees Tuesday
- Home splits: 3-1, 2.70 ERA, .205 OBA, 11 ER in 36 2/3 IPs
- Has never faced the Marlins as a starter
Marlins at White Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | White Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-185) | White Sox -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Marlins at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 3, Marlins 2
Moneyline
Both teams are playing good baseball and I’m leaning to the White Sox (-135) to take the series at home on Sunday. Chicago has won 4 of their last 5 at Guaranteed Rate Field. Despite the odds being reasonable, I’m going to PASS the moneyline bet and look to the total.
Run line/Against the spread
I lean to the road team with this bet. I like the White Sox straight up but the Marlins +1.5 (-185) on the run line. The only thing I don’t like about it, is the odds. You are having to put up almost 2 units to win 1 in a bet that’s very 50/50. AVOID the spread bet and look to the total in this one.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8 (+100).
I’m all in on the Under in this game. Garrett has allowed more than 2 ER only once in his last 5 starts. Giolito has not allowed more than 2 ER in his last 3 home starts. Miami has been under this total in their last 4 and the White Sox have been in their last 3.
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