The Miami Marlins (46-34) and Boston Red Sox (40-40) meet Wednesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game interleague set at Fenway Park. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Marlins lead 1-0
In Tuesday’s lid-lifter, Miami drubbed Boston 10-1. The victory marked the Marlins 3rd in a row and their 5th in a row on the road. Miami has allowed just 2.42 runs per game in going 9-3 since June 14.
The Red Sox have lost 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6. Over those half-dozen games, Boston has managed just 2.17 runs per game on a .548 OPS, while the pitching staff has posted a 5.19 ERA.
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Marlins at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Kaleb Ort
Garrett (3-2, 3.64 ERA) is making his 15th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 76 2/3 innings across 15 games (14 starts).
- Yielded 11 ER in start vs. Atlanta Braves May 3, allowing 14 H, 2 BB with 3 K in 14-6 home loss
- Owns 2.50 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.87 WHIP since that defeat (9 starts) — with 2-1 record, while Marlins went 7-2
- 2023 road split: 2.18 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.09 WHIP in 8 starts
Ort (1-1, 5.79 ERA) likely serves as an opener for the Red Sox. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 18 2/3 innings in 16 relief appearances and 1 start this season.
- Owns a 6.08 career ERA (43 games)
- Last outing: 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-1 loss at Chicago White Sox Sunday
- June 2023: 0-1, 2.84 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 9 K in 5 games (1 starts)
- LHP Chris Murphy (0.00 ERA in 8 IP) is another early-game option for BoSox
Marlins at Red Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:38 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Marlins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+120) | Red Sox +1.5 (-144)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Marlins at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 6, Red Sox 5
Moneyline
Garrett has been on a role. He’s pitched in an around a high .328 batting average with runners in scoring position and a 16.4 home runs/fly balls rate.
On the surface, Boston is quite good against lefties (.774 OPS), but that’s with the aid of a .318 BABIP.
The Fish have been all-around-solid of late. This price offers some leverage. BACK MIAMI (-130).
Run line/Against the spread
Both teams play a lot of 1-run games. Both also have the back ends of the bullpens geared up for action. A loose, summer-at-Fenway game may be in the offing, but hold off on trying to get plus money on the visitors unless the return gets to +130 or higher.
PASS.
Over/Under
BACK OVER 9.5 (-110).
Both teams have indicators that would say more offense is coming. On a warm, humid night at Fenway — with a wind helping balls over the Green Monster — figure this one having a decent shot of getting into double figures.
This figure is on the higher end in the market, though. There’s some value as long as the line doesn’t climb to 10.
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