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The Miami Marlins (18-34) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (24-27) on the road Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch from Chase Field is at 10:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Marlins lead 1-0
The Marlins have won 2 in a row and 7 of their last 9 games. They took the opener on Friday 3-0 behind Braxton Garrett’s complete-game, 4-hit shutout. They have not allowed a run in their last 2 games.
The Diamondbacks had won 2 straight and 3 of 4 entering the series. It was their 3rd straight loss in a series opener.
Marlins at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Sixto Sanchez vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery
Sanchez (0-2, 6.41 ERA) makes his 6th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 26 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-3 home defeat vs. New York Mets Sunday
- 0-1 with 6.52 ERA since joining the starting rotation
Montgomery (2-2, 4.98 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 through 34 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-4 home win vs. Detroit Tigers Sunday
- Diamondbacks have won his last 3 starts
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Marlins at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:16 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Diamondbacks -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Marlins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Marlins 5
Moneyline
Before getting shut out Friday, Arizona had scored 6 or more runs in 3 of 4. The D-backs have won Montgomery’s last 3 starts.
The Marlins, though, have been getting some great pitching performances. They have 5 shutout wins in their last 9 games.
I like Arizona to bounce back but -185 isn’t worth a wager.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Marlins are 11-12 ATS as road dogs. Of their last 14 losses, 13 have been by more than 1 run.
The Diamondbacks are 10-16 ATS at home and 7-12 ATS as home favorites.
Four of Arizona’s last 8 wins have been by only 1 run.
I like the Diamondbacks to win but the Marlins will cover the +1.5.
BET MARLINS +1.5 (-125).
Over/Under
Three of the last 4 for Miami have stayed Under 10 total runs. But each of its last 5 losses have all had 10 or more total runs.
Five of Arizona’s last 7 games have had totals of 10 or more.
BET OVER 9.5 (-105).
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