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The Miami Marlins (17-34) kick off a 6-game road trip with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (24-26) on Friday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Marlins won 2023 series 4-2
The Marlins have won 6 of their last 8 games and are coming off a series win over the Milwaukee Brewers as they won the finale 1-0 on Wednesday before an off day.
The Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 4 and took the final 2 games of their road series against the Los Angeles Dodgers to pick up a series win. They shut out the Dodgers 6-0 on Wednesday before having an off day.
Marlins at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Garrett (0-0, 10.24 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3 BB and 13 K in 9 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 6 R, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 10-9 home win over New York Mets last Saturday
- Making only 3rd start since returning from a shoulder injury
- Marlins have won both his starts this season
Gallen (5-3, 3.02 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 50 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 R, 7 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 8-3 home loss to Detroit Tigers on Saturday
- Is 3-0 with 1.35 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Marlins, his former team
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Marlins at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Diamondbacks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)
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Marlins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks are 16-10 against teams without winning records. The Marlins are 7-15 on the road, although they come in with a 2-game road winning streak.
Arizona has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. And Gallen has been so good against the Marlins in 3 career starts.
But don’t bet the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at -175. That just costs too much.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks are 7-11 ATS as home favorites this season but the Marlins are 10-12 ATS as road dogs.
While the Marlins have won 6 of their last 8 games, 13 of their last 14 losses have been by multiple runs.
BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+120).
Over/Under
Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games have had 8 or more total runs while 4 of the last 6 games for the Marlins have had 8 runs or more.
BET OVER 7.5 (-130).
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