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The Washington Wizards (14-60) welcome the Miami Heat (40-33) to Capital One Arena Sunday. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Wizards odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 2-1.
While the Heat lead the season series 2-1, the Wizards are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in those matchups. They are coming off a 96-87 home loss to the Detroit Pistons Friday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point favorite. The Wizards have lost 7 of their last 10 and are 3-7 ATS in that span. They are 33-39-2 ATS on the season.
The Heat have won 5 of their last 8 and are coming off a 142-82 home win over the Portland Trail Blazers Friday, covering as a 14-point favorite. Miami has spent the last 4 games at home and are 2-2 straight up and ATS in those. It is 35-37-1 ATS on the season. The Heat are led by F Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 21.1 points per game.
Heat at Wizards odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -590 (bet $590 to win $100) | Wizards +430 (bet $100 to win $430)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -11 (-110) | Wizards +11 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 217 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Heat at Wizards key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (foot) out
- F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) available
- G Caleb Martin (ankle) out
- G Duncan Robinson (back) probable
Wizards
- F Bilal Coulibaly (wrist) out
- G Tyus Jones (back) out
- F Kyle Kuzma (heel) questionable
- G Landry Shamet (calf) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Wizards picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 108, Wizards 103
Moneyline
PASS.
The Heat are rightfully a strong favorite, and given the expensive odds, there’s no value in playing them to win outright. Similarly, the Wizards are missing too many key pieces to take to pull off the upset.
Against the spread
BET WIZARDS +11 (-110).
Washington has covered its last 2 games as a double-digit underdog, beating the Bulls by 2 on the road and beating the Kings by 7 at home yet closing as a 13-point and 11-point underdog respectively. The Wizards will have some capable scoring with 4 players averaging double figures set to be active.
The Heat are 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games as a double-digit favorite. They have failed to top 92 points in 2 of their last 4, so the Heat may not have the firepower offensively to pull away by a sizable margin.
That said, back WIZARDS +11 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 217 (-108).
Miami is 3-9 O/U in its last 12 games and has scored 92 or fewer in 4 of its last 9. The Heat will be missing Robinson and Herro, 2 of their top-5 scoring options which could hurt their offensive efficiency.
The Wizards, who play at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, have scored 107 or fewer in 4 of their last 8 and put up just 87 in their last game. The Heat won’t look to push the pace and have a strong, efficiency defense that should be able to limit a shorthanded Washington side.
Combine it all together and back UNDER 217 (-108).
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