Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Toronto Raptors (5-9) again play host to the Miami Heat (6-7) Friday. The 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla., will be a rematch of Wednesday’s 111-102 win by the Heat. Below, we analyze the Heat-Raptors NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Heat at Raptors: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Heat +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Raptors -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Heat +2.5 (-110) | Raptors -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat at Raptors: Key Injuries

Heat

  • SG Avery Bradley (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Jimmy Butler (health and safety protocols) out
  • PG Goran Dragic (foot) probable
  • SG Tyler Herro (neck) questionable
  • Meyers Leonard (shoulder) out

Raptors

  • PF Pascal Siakam (groin) questionable

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Heat at Raptors: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Raptors 113, Heat 104

Money line (ML)

The RAPTORS (-140) were -190 money line favorites for Wednesday’s game. The price has dropped considerably following the Heat’s decisive upset victory and it makes the hosts a much more appealing play in Game 2.

Toronto shot just 39.8% from the floor and 32.7% from 3-point range in the loss. Miami shot 48.8% from field-goal range and made 18 of 40 3-point attempts. The Heat had only slight advantages in rebounding and assists, while the Raptors took better control of the ball and had more trips to the free-throw line.

The potential absence of Siakam looms large in this one and will need to be monitored throughout the day, but the Heat have the more extensive injury report. Miami was led by PG Kendrick Nunn‘s game-high 28 points Wednesday with five others scoring in double-figures. Look for some shooting regression for Miami.

Against the spread (ATS)

There’s better value on the RAPTORS -2.5 (-110) to win by at least 3 points. They were laying 4 points Wednesday and the loss has dropped the line by a point-and-a-half.

If Toronto can be plus-6 in the turnover column once again and just shoot closer to its season average of 36.9% from 3-point range, it should get a different result.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the UNDER 221.5 (-110). Less-efficient shooting from the Heat and more connection from the Raptors should offset in total scoring. Wednesday’s game fell 9 points shy of a 222.0 line, so we have some room for error.

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