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The New York Knicks (42-24) welcome the Miami Heat (29-38) to Madison Square Garden Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Knicks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Knicks lead 2-0
The Heat are riding a 7-game losing streak, most recently falling 125-91 at the Memphis Grizzlies Saturday. They didn’t come close to covering as 5-point underdogs, while the Under (225) hit. Rookie C Kel’el Ware led the Heat with 19 points and 11 rebounds — both team-highs. Miami has failed to cover 5 in a row, yet is 6-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last 11 contests. The Heat are 28-38-1 ATS on the season.
The Knicks lost to the Golden State Warriors 97-94 Saturday as 7-point road underdogs with the Under (227) cashing. They were led by C Karl-Anthony Towns, who dropped a game-high 29 points — on 12-for-21 shooting — with 12 rebounds, also a game-high. New York has lost 4 of its last 6 and is just 2-4 ATS in those. The Knicks are 30-35-1 ATS on the season.
Heat at Knicks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:29 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Knicks -325 (bet $325 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Heat +7.5 (-110) | Knicks -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Knicks key injuries
Heat
- G Alec Burks (back) out
- F Nikola Jovic (hand) out
- F Andrew Wiggins (leg) questionable
Knicks
- G Jalen Brunson (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Knicks picks and predictions
Prediction
Knicks 107, Heat 104
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no playable moneyline wager. The Knicks (-325) should come out on top as the Heat (+260) have struggled as of late, but there’s no value in New York at this price.
Against the spread
BET HEAT +7.5 (-110).
The Knicks haven’t been anything to brag about on their home court lately, going 4-3 straight up and an ugly 0-7 ATS in their last 7 at MSG. They’re 3-10 ATS in their 13 games overall. Without Brunson, the offense has struggled, scoring 95 points or fewer in 2 of their last 4.
While Miami hasn’t consistently won, it has defended well, having allowed 106 or fewer points in 3 of its last 6 contests. Plus, the Heat are 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog.
BACK HEAT +7.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 212.5 (-110).
If there’s one thing both teams have in common, it is the Under. The Heat have gone Under in 7 of their last 8 games and have scored 104 or fewer points in 4 straight.
The Knicks are down their leading scorer — Brunson averages 26.3 PPG — and have gone Under in 2 straight games. New York is 1-5 O/U in its last 6 and 2-8 O/U in its last 10.
TAKE UNDER 212.5 (-110).
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