The New York Knicks (24-22) host the Miami Heat (22-24) Monday at Madison Square Garden for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Heat-Knicks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Miami has lost six games in a row (0-6 against the spread) following a five-game win streak that started prior to the All-Star break. The Heat were buyers at the trade deadline by sending PF Kelly Olynyk to the Houston Rockets for SG Victor Oladipo in hopes of improving their outside shooting.
New York has won three games in a row and four of its last five games including back-to-back home wins over the Washington Wizards and against the injury-depleted Milwaukee Bucks. The Knicks were without leading scorer PF Julius Randle.
Heat at Knicks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Heat -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Knicks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread/ATS: Heat -4 (-110) | Knicks +4 (-110)
- Over/Under: 206.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Knicks: Key injuries
Heat
- PG Goran Dragic (back) probable
- PG Kendrick Nunn (ankle) out
- SG Victor Oladipo (illness) out
Knicks
- PF Julius Randle (thigh) questionable
- SG Reggie Bullock (ankle) questionable
- C Mitchell Robinson (foot) out
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Heat at Knicks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Knicks 109, Heat 104
Money line (ML)
New York is the right side in this game as long as Randle is able to play.
The KNICKS (+145) offense is trending up with wing RJ Barrett playing the best ball of his young career and PG Derrick Rose returning to the lineup in the previous outing after being sidelined due to COVID-19 since the end of February.
The Heat’s offense is limited to SF Jimmy Butler getting to the foul line and their 3-point shooting has plummeted since last year. I don’t hate Miami taking a flyer on Oladipo but Olynyk was second on the team in on-off court net rating.
Also, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Olynyk’s departure could have the biggest impact on the Heat’s offensive efficiency and rebounding rate on both sides of the floor.
LEAN KNICKS (+145) for a quarter-unit only because Randle’s status is still up in the air.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Definitely BET KNICKS +4 (-110) heavier than or instead of New York’s money line if or when Randle is cleared to play.
I don’t like the Heat’s chances of creating a scoring margin in this game with their limited offense and the Knicks are 13-8-1 with a plus-4.7 ATS margin at home this season.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS with a lean toward the Over 206.5 (-110) because the previous Heat-Knicks game was the first to go Under in the past four meetings but both teams are tough defensively and play at an ultra-slow pace.
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Also see:
- NBA trade deadline recap and buyout market preview (Hoops Hype)
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