The Miami Heat continue their best-of-7 Eastern Conference semifinal series against the New York Knicks Tuesday at Madison Square Garden. Tip for Game 2 is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Knicks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Heat leads the series 1-0 after opening with a 108-101 road victory to seize home-court advantage in Game 1 on Sunday.
Miami has won and covered 4 consecutive games as an underdog and has cashed the Over at a 5-1 clip in the past 6 outings. The Heat shot 42% (36-for-85) from the field in Game 1 while hitting 33% (13-for-39) from behind the 3-point arc.
F Jimmy Butler led the way with 26 points and 11 rebounds in Game 1, as his magical postseason continues. However, he dinged up his ankle and is considered questionable for Game 2. Jimmy Buckets is averaging 35.5 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 4.7 APG and 1.8 SPG across 6 postseason games this year.
The Knicks won the final 3 games of their Round 1 series against the Cavaliers, but Miami splashed cold water on New York’s momentum in Game 1.
New York shot 47.7% (41-for-86) from the field, but it struggled from downtown at just 20.6% (7-for-34), and it was just 60% (12-for-20) from the free-throw line while turning it over 13 times. The Knicks were able to outrebound the Heat by a 48-to-39 margin.
PG Jalen Brunson had 25 points in Game 1, but he was 0-for-7 from downtown, while SG RJ Barrett led the way with 26 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists. Like Butler, Brunson is nursing an ankle injury and is questionable.
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Heat at Knicks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Knicks -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +6.5 (-110) | Knicks -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Knicks key injuries
Heat
- G Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable
Knicks
- G Jalen Brunson (ankle) questionable
- F Julius Randle (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Knicks picks and predictions
Prediction
Knicks 109, Heat 105
Moneyline
The Knicks (-275) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s obviously quite expensive for a team that lost on its home court in Game 1.
PASS.
Against the spread
The HEAT +6.5 (-110) are a solid play in Game 2 while catching more than 3 buckets.
Miami has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games and are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 after a straight-up win. The Heat are also 6-0 ATS in the past 6 games after a day of rest.
The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in the past 4 games after a non-cover, but they’re just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 Conference Semifinals games. The Knicks are also 5-12 ATS in the past 17 games at home against the Heat.
Over/Under
OVER 206.5 (-110) is the lean in Game 2.
The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 7 meetings, although the Under (210) just came in by a single point in Game 1.
The Over is 10-1 in the past 11 games for the Heat while working on a single day of rest, is 16-5 in the past 21 games overall and 6-1 in the past 7 on the road.
While the Under has hit in 6 in a row for the Knicks, the Over is 9-3-1 in the past 13 games against winning teams.
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