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The Miami Heat (43-34) face the Indiana Pacers (44-34) Sunday. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Series tied 1-1
The standings of the Eastern Conference are tight and teams are trying to avoid the play-in games. The Pacers and Heat are 2 of those teams.
With just a week to go in the regular season, this is a must-win game for both teams. The winner would not only be a game up in the standings, but also hold the tie breaker, making it an essentially 2-game lead.
Both are coming off wins on Friday night. The Pacers beat an injured Oklahoma City Thunder squad 126-112 while the Heat won against the Rockets in Houston 119-104.
Heat at Pacers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Pacers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +1.5 (-110) | Pacers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Pacers key injuries
Heat
- F Josh Richardson (shoulder) out
Pacers
- G Tyrese Haliburton (back) questionable
- G Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out
- C Jalen Smith (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Pacers picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 115, Pacers 104
Moneyline
Both teams have been tough underdogs this season so since the books are favoring Indiana, it puts them in a tough spot.
First, the Pacers are 10th in the East in win percentage as a home favorite (16-11). And the Heat are just below the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference in road record at 23-16.
Finally, coming off a win the Pacers are just 20-23 this season while the Heat are a much better 23-19.
LEAN MIAMI -105.
Against the spread
Miami has the 3rd-best record ATS as a road underdog (15-9). But if you like the value of taking them straight up then you don’t need to add this bet.
PASS.
Over/Under
While the Heat are on a 5-game Over streak right now, on the road this season they are 27-12 toward the Under. And, after a win both teams trend toward the Under. Miami is 28-14 and Indiana is 25-18.
BET UNDER 227.5 (-105).
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