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The Houston Rockets (21-10) welcome the Miami Heat (15-14) to the Toyota Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Heat won 2-0 last season
The Heat had a 2-game win streak snapped with a 120-110 loss to the Atlanta Hawks Saturday evening, closing as a 1-point road favorite. They were led by G Tyler Herro, who hit 8-of-15 shots and scored 28 points. Miami is 2-4 straight up and 2-4 against the spread (ATS) over its last 6 games. The Heat are 13-16 ATS on the season.
The Rockets’ 4-game win streak was snapped with a 113-112 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves Friday night, closing as a 1-point home favorite. They were led by C Alperen Sengun, who scored a game-high 38 points. Houston is 3-2 ATS over its last 5 gamesand 19-12 ATS on the season.
Heat at Rockets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Rockets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +8.5 (-110) | Rockets -8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Heat at Rockets key injuries
Heat
(Not yet submitted — below was for Saturday’s game)
- F Jimmy Butler (reconditioning) out
- G Terry Rozier (knee) probable
Rockets
- G Dillon Brooks (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 116, Heat 105
Moneyline
PASS.
The Rockets should come out on top, especially with Miami still down its top player in Butler. Houston, however, is not playable on the moneyline considering how expensive it is.
Against the spread
BET ROCKETS -8.5 (-110).
The Rockets have covered 2 of their last 3 games and are a strong 10-5 ATS at home, the fifth-highest covering rate in the NBA. Houston is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games as a favorite of 6 points or greater.
The Heat have failed to cover in 5 of their last 7 contests and have allowed at least 120 points or more in 3 of those. They are 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games as an underdog as well as 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Considering those trends, back ROCKETS -8.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 216.5 (-115).
The Heat are 6-4 O/U in their last 10 and have scored at least 110 points in all but 2 of those. They have given up at least 111 points in 5 of those 10 as well.
The Rockets are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games and have been on fire offensively, scoring at least 112 points in 5 straight games. They have allowed at least 110 in 5 of their last 6 outings too.
Play OVER 216.5 (-115).
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