Miami Heat at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Heat at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Rockets (38-38) welcome the Miami Heat (42-34) to the Toyota Center Friday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 1-0 after a 120-113 home win on Jan. 8 as a 4-point  favorite

Houston has lost 3 straight games going 1-2 against the spread (ATS). It is coming off a 133-110 home loss to the Golden State Warriors Thursday as a 3-point underdog. The Rockets are 43-32-1 ATS on the season. They are led by G Jalen Green, who is averaging 19.9 points per game (PPG).

The Heat lost to the Philadelphia 76ers 109-105 Thursday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite. They are 4-3 straight up and 3-3-1 ATS over their last 7 games. Miami is 36-38-2 ATS on the season. It is led by F Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 20.9 PPG.

Heat at Rockets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat -144 (bet $144 to win $100) | Rockets +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat -2.5 (-112) | Rockets +2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 215 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Rockets key injuries

Heat

  • Not yet submitted

Rockets

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 110, Rockets 107

Moneyline

BET HEAT (-144).

Miami is the healthier side and has more to play for. It sits 7th in the Eastern Conference and, with a late-season run, could finish 6th and avoid playing Milwaukee or Boston in the 1st round and the play-in tournament.  The Heat have won 3 of their last 4 and have won 4 of their last 5 on the road. They should have more fire to come out on top.

The Rockets were among the hottest teams in the NBA, but have lost 3 straight. While their 11-game win streak was impressive, it was largely against non-playoff teams. The Heat are hot while the Rockets have cooled off, losing 3 straight all to teams in playoff contention.

The Heat are the better side and, at these odds, give good value to win outright. Back HEAT (-144).

Against the spread

PASS.

While there is some value on the Heat’s spread, this should be a close battle, and taking them to win outright is the better wager.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 215 (-110).

The Heat have gone Over in 4 straight games, scoring at least 109 in 3 of those and scoring 119 or more in 2 of the 4. Miami has allowed 107 or more in 2 of its last 3 as well.

The Rockets are 9-2 O/U in their last 11 games. They have scored at least 106 points in all but 1 of those games. Houston ranks 14th in pace and has a plethora of young talent that should want to push the tempo.

Back OVER 215 (-110).

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