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The Detroit Pistons (10-16) welcome the Miami Heat (13-10) to Little Caesars Arena Monday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1; Heat won 106-98 at home on Oct. 28 while Pistons won 123-121 in OT at home on Nov. 12.
The Heat beat the Toronto Raptors 114-104 Thursday, closing as a 10.5-point home favorite. They were led by G Tyler Herro, who scored 23 points and dropped 4 triples. Miami has rattled off 4 straight wins going 3-1 against the spread (ATS). It is 11-12 ATS on the season.
The Pistons lost to the Boston Celtics 123-99 Thursday, closing as an 11.5-point road underdog. F Ron Holland III had a team-high 26 points. Detroit has struggled over the last two weeks, losing 4 of its last 5 games. It is 2-3 ATS in those and 12-13-1 ATS on the season.
Heat at Pistons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Pistons +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-115) | Pistons +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Pistons key injuries
Heat
- None
Pistons
- F Tobias Harris (thumb) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Pistons picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 114, Pistons 107
Moneyline
PASS.
The Heat (-175) are the better side here and have won 4 straight games. Expect them to keep that streak alive, but they are simply too expensive to play on the moneyline here.
Against the spread
BET HEAT -3.5 (-115).
Miami has rewarded bettors as of late, covering in 3 of its last 4 games. It has scored at least 114 points in each of those games. It has allowed 113 or fewer points in 5 straight games as well, returning to its roots as a strong, defensive-minded side.
Detroit, which has shown flashes during the season, has hit a major slump and is 1-4 over its last 5 contests and 3-8 ATS over its last 11 games. It is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games.
Take HEAT -3.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET OVER 218.5 (-110).
The Heat are 3-1 O/U in their last 4 games and 5-2 O/U in their last 7. They have scored 121 points or more in 4 of those games as well.
The Pistons, who are just 12-14 O/U on the season, have gone Over in 5 of their last 7 games, allowing at least 123 points in 3 of their last 4 outings. Detroit’s offense has been stronger as of late, scoring at least 120 points twice in its last 3 games.
Considering those trends, play OVER 218.5 (-110).
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