Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (28-22) visit the Charlotte Hornets (14-36) Sunday in a Southeast Division battle. Tip-off from Spectrum Center is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Hornets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat are coming off a 110-105 win vs. the Orlando Magic Friday to end a 3-game homestand. The Heat went 3-0 during the stretch but 1-2 against the spread (ATS), including not covering as 8.5-point favorites vs. the Magic. They have won 7 of their last 9 and lead the Southeast by 3 games.

Charlotte is coming off a blowout 111-96 home win as 3-point underdogs vs. the Chicago Bulls Thursday. The victory was the Hornets’ 3rd in their last 5 games — they also went 3-2 ATS in the span. Prior to the stretch, the Hornets lost 5 in a row and 10 of 12.

Charlotte is last in the division and lost each of the first 2 games against Miami this season. They were back-to-back games in South Florida — a 117-112 setback in overtime as 10.5-point underdogs (Nov. 10) and a 132-115 loss as 8.5-point dogs (Nov. 12).

Can you survive? New pro and college basketball survivor pools are here at USA TODAY Sports! Free to play; terms and conditions apply. Join now!

Heat at Hornets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Hornets +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread: Heat -6.5 (-105) | Hornets +6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Catch the excitement and bet with Tipico

Double Down, Ohio! Deposit $200, Get $250. Bet now!

In Colorado and New Jersey, claim your 100% Deposit Match up to $250 now. Bet now! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions.

Heat at Hornets key injuries

Heat

  • Nikola Jovic (back) out
  • F Duncan Robinson (finger) out

Hornets

  • Cody Martin (knee) out
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. (hand) out
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (illness) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Hornets picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Hornets 101

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Heat (-240) should win this game as the line suggests, but due to the lopsidedness of the -240 line and the fact that Miami is the road team, steer clear of a wager here. The risk is not worth the possible reward.

Against the spread

LEAN HEAT +6.5 (-105).

In the past 7 head-to-head meetings — all Miami wins — the Heat have dominated ATS, going 5-1-1. In the last 9, they’re 6-2-1 ATS vs. the Hornets.

Miami is the more fundamental team and has more savvy veterans and are much better defensively, making this a tough matchup for Charlotte.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 222.5 (-112).

All the trends point to the Under.

Miami has been consistently cashing Under tickets recently.

The Under is 4-0 in the Heat’s last 4 games, 6-2 in the last 8 and 10-3 in the last 13.

The Under is also 7-1 in Miami’s last 8 games vs. teams with a losing record, and the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 Miami-Charlotte games.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Want action on this NBA game or any other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron WireRookie Wire | List Wire

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1368]