Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Heat (43-35) visit the Atlanta Hawks (36-42) Tuesday night. Tip from State Farm Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 2-1

Miami fell 117-115 against the Indiana Pacers Sunday while covering as a 3-point road underdog. F Jimmy Butler scored a game-high 27 points, and C Bam Adebayo had a double-double with 20 points and 12 rebounds. All 5 of the Heat players who scored in double digits had at least 18 points, and the team shot 46.4% from the field in the loss.

The Hawks have lost back-to-back games after falling 142-110 against the Denver Nuggets Saturday and failing to cover as 11-point road underdogs. C Clint Capela and G Dejounte Murray each had a double-double. Capela scored a team-high 19 points with 12 rebounds, and Murray added 14 points and 12 assists. Six Atlanta players, including every starter, scored in double figures, and the team shot 42.5% from the field in the loss.

Heat at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Hawks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-110) | Hawks +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Hawks key injuries

Heat

  • C Bam Adebayo (hand) probable
  • F Nikola Jovic (ankle) probable
  • F Kevin Love (ankle) probable
  • F Duncan Robinson (back) out
  • G Terry Rozier (neck) questionable

Hawks

  • Saddiq Bey (knee) out
  • C Onyeka Okongwu (toe) out
  • G Trae Young (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 117, Hawks 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The spread presents better value on Miami (-160), which is 4-2 in its last 6 games.

Against the spread

BET MIAMI -3.5 (-110).

The Heat are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games and have covered in 3 of their last 4. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 as favorites.

The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, including 0-3 ATS in their last 3. They have failed to cover in 3 of their last 4 as underdogs and each of their last 2 at home. Atlanta is also 28-50 ATS this season.

Over/Under

BET OVER 219.5 (-110).

Both Miami and Atlanta have Over records of 8-2 in their last 10 games.

The Heat have hit the Over in each of their last 6 games and have scored 119 or more points in 4 of their last 6.

The Hawks have scored 110 or more points in 9 of their last 10 games and have given up 113 or more in 4 of their last 6.

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