The Memphis Grizzlies (28-26) visit Sactown for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off against the Sacramento Kings (21-33) at the Golden 1 Center. We analyze the Grizzlies-Kings odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Grizzlies at Kings: Key injuries
Grizzlies
- SF Justise Winslow (back) out
- SG Grayson Allen (hip) out
Kings
- PF Jabari Parker (shoulder) questionable
- PF Richaun Holmes (shoulder) out
- C Alex Len (hip) out
- PF Marvin Bagley III (foot) out
Grizzlies at Kings: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Grizzlies 123, Kings 114
Moneyline (ML)
Each team has won a game in the season series with the Kings taking the last game 128-123 in Sacramento Jan. 2. But Memphis has a better record on the road (12-13) than Sacramento has at home (11-15). Memphis also has a huge motivational edge over Sacramento. The Kings’ season is effectively over with them currently seeded 13th in the West and seven games back of the Grizzlies for the final playoff spot. The Grizzlies are hearing the naysayers talk about their inexperience, motivating them to prove the doubters wrong with a goal of by holding off the surging Portland Trail Blazers and the hyped-up New Orleans Pelicans (with Zion Williamson in the lineup). The Grizzlies knows they need to win this one with their next games at the top-seeded Los Angeles Lakers Friday and at the third-seeded LA Clippers Monday. Bet the GRIZZLIES -115.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
PASS. Stick with the Grizzlies to win outright. There’s no point of stressing a measly 1.5 points (and an ATS loss in that spot hurts) and in laying -106 for the Grizzlies to win by at least 2 points.
However, here are some ATS trends that further support my moneyline handicap:
- Memphis has been fantastic this season in similar situations: The Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in games where favored between 1-2.5 points. Sacramento hasn’t been too shabby though on the other side of that trend; the Kings are 7-4 ATS when getting 1-2.5 points.
- The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.
- Memphis is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
- The Grizzlies are a better ATS road team than the Kings are at home: Memphis is 8-6 ATS against teams below .500 and Sacramento is 4-6-1 ATS when hosting above .500 teams.
Over/Under (O/U)
The first two Grizzlies-Kings meetings this season have went Over the projected total. The Grizzlies have a 13-12 O/U road record and the Kings have a 13-13 O/U home record. Plus, the officiating crew slated to ref this game has a combined 55-40 O/U record this season. But the Under is 17-7 in the last 24 meetings so I’m only leaning toward OVER 229.5 (-110).
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