The Maryland Terrapins (6-3, 3-3 Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (7-2, 4-2) Saturday in a conference matchup. Kickoff from Beaver Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Maryland vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Maryland is coming into this tough matchup after taking a tough 23-10 loss to Wisconsin on Nov. 5. Wisconsin nearly doubled Maryland’s total yards and Maryland also lost both the turnover battle and the total 1st down battle, while narrowly winning the time of possession battle. In that loss, QB Tualia Tagovailoa completed 43% of his passes (10 of 23) for 77 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT.
Penn State is coming off a 45-14 blowout win vs. Big Ten opponent Indiana on Nov. 5. Penn State had almost 300 more total yards than Indiana, 1 turnover to Indiana’s 3, and more than doubled Indiana’s 1st downs. Freshman RB Kaytron Allen had 3 rushing TDs and 2 receptions for 72 yards.
Penn State is No. 15 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Maryland at Penn State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:02 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maryland +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Penn State -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Maryland +10 (-111) | Penn State -10 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 58 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Maryland at Penn State picks and predictions
Prediction
Penn State 35, Maryland 21
Moneyline
AVOID
The moneyline here has too much risk associated with it for me to advise you to bet your money. Penn State should win this game at home with ease, but I wouldn’t risk this much money on this game.
Against the spread
BET PENN STATE -10 (-109)
Penn State should easily cover the spread in this game. Maryland did put up a fight against a great Michigan team a few weeks ago, but that seemed like a fluke game. Coming off that Wisconsin blowout where this team looked terrible, expect Penn State to come out the gates hot and dominate with their run-game and their defense.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 58 (-110)
This bet comes with a fair amount of risk. Penn State has a great offense and Maryland has a solid offense, but I don’t believe that will be enough to cover the over here. If this had been the over/under in last weekend’s win vs. Indiana, Penn State would’ve just barely covered it, and Maryland’s defense is much better than that Indiana defense. Expect the under to be safer but do not be surprised if this game surpasses the over.
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