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Manchester City (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) welcome Arsenal (3-1-0) to Etihad Stadium for a major EPL clash Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET (USA Network / Telemundo). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Manchester City vs. Arsenal odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Arsenal is coming off a 0-0 Champions League draw with Atalanta Thursday. In the Gunners last EPL match, they beat Tottenham 1-0 on the road. They are 2-0-0 on the road this season despite having 0.3 fewer expected goals in those games combined. Arsenal, who is led by F Kai Havertz offensively, has tallied 6 goals and allowed just 1 through 4 league matches.
Manchester City has looked like its dominant self this season as well. City has scored 11 goals in 4 matches and has allowed 3 in that span. They are coming off a 0-0 midweek draw to Inter Milan in the Champions League group stage. City beat Brentford 2-1 at home in its last EPL match on Sept. 14. They are led by F Erling Haaland, who has tallied 9 goals in just 4 matches.
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Manchester City vs. Arsenal odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Manchester City -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Arsenal +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Draw +250
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +100 | U: -135)
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Manchester City vs. Arsenal picks and predictions
Prediction
Manchester City 1, Arsenal 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+250).
Both teams have similar rosters to last season, and both battles had little separating the teams. City lost 1-0 on the road to Arsenal, yet they have 0.1 more expected goals.
At home, like they are here, City drew Arsenal 0-0. While City is undefeated, they haven’t been as impressive as expected, having trailed to even Ipswich Town this season. They also had fewer expected goals in their first game against Chelsea.
Arsenal has performed well on the road and has scored in every game this season, making it likely that City will need to break through twice to come out on top. For this value, take DRAW (+250).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-135).
Arsenal has gone Under this total in every game his season. The Gunners have scored just 2 in their last 2 games and have allowed just 1 throughout all 4. They have allowed just 0.7 or fewer expected goals in 2 of those 4 as well.
City has a strong and capable defense as well and has allowed 1.0 or fewer expected goals in all 4, although this will be the best offense they have played this season. They have played one competitive side, Chelsea on the road, and had just 0.8 expected goals, so it doesn’t necessarily have a plethora of chances, which should be difficult to take advantage of against Arsenal.
Back UNDER 2.5 (-135).
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