The LSU Tigers (12-4, 1-3 SEC) face off against the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-2, 4-0) on Saturday. Tip from Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Ala., is scheduled for 4 p.m. (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the LSU vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
LSU dropped a 3rd straight game when it fell 67-56 to Florida on Tuesday, failing to cover as a 3-point home underdog. The Tigers are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) across their 7 games and are 7-9 ATS this season. Their strength is their defense, ranking 8th in the country in opponents’ 3-point percentage (27.5%).
Alabama took down Arkansas 84-69 on Wednesday, covering as a 1.5-point road underdog. It is now on a 5-game win streak, going 4-1 ATS in that span. The Crimson Tide are 9-6-1 ATS this season. Their defense is their strong point as well, ranking 1st in the nation in defensive rebounds per game (32.38), ranking 9th in the nation for opponents’ 3-point percentage (27.5%), and ranking 12th in the nation for opponents’ field goal percentage (38.04%).
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LSU at Alabama odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): LSU +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Alabama -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): LSU +14.5 (-110) | Alabama -14.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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LSU at Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 83, LSU 69
Moneyline
PASS.
The moneyline play is far too risky to play on Alabama (-1200).
Against the spread
PASS.
Although this game certainly has the potential to be a big blowout, but despite that Alabama is playing on its home court where it is 8-0 against an LSU team that is 0-2 on the road, 14.5 points are too many to comfortably make a suggestion.
The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these teams while the favorite is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 146.5 (-105).
Although Alabama loves to push the pace of games, ranking in the top 15 in points per game, its defense ranks in the top 15 in opponent field goal percentage and opponent 3-point percentage while LSU’s offense ranks lower than 200th for points per game.
The Under has hit 4 times in LSU’s last 6 games following an ATS loss and 4 times in its last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
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