The Los Angeles Lakers (25-13) visit the Golden State Warriors (20-19) Monday at Chase Center for a 10:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Lakers-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors gave PG Stephen Curry a nice birthday present Sunday by upsetting the Utah Jazz 131-119 at home. Curry dropped 32 points on 50.0% shooting (6-for-9 from 3-point range) with 9 assists.
Golden State’s win over Utah snapped a four-game losing skid. All games were on the road against Pacific Division opponents, including a 117-91 loss to the Lakers Feb. 28.
Los Angeles bounced back from back-to-back losses entering the All-Star break to beat the Indiana Pacers 105-100 Friday. The Lakers covered the spread as 4.5-point home favorites. Following a four-game losing skid in late February, the Lakers are 3-2 straight up and 4-1 against the spread in their past five games.
These teams split their first two meetings of the season, both in Los Angeles.
Lakers at Warriors: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.
- Money line: Lakers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Lakers -2.5 (-110) | Warriors +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Lakers at Warriors: Key injuries
Lakers
- PG Alex Caruso (concussion) out
- PF Anthony Davis (calf) out
- C Marc Gasol (health and safety protocols) out
- SF LeBron James (ankle) probable
- PF Kyle Kuzma (heel) probable
Warriors
None.
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Lakers at Warriors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Warriors 112, Lakers 107
Money line (ML)
PASS with a lean on Warriors (+115) since I like Golden State plus the points. There’s just not enough value in this money line to bet it.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Lean on WARRIORS +2.5 (-110) for a half-unit because the Lakers are just 3-6 straight up in their last nine games and are banged up while Golden State has no news on its injury report.
Also, James scored only 19 points per game in the first two Warriors-Lakers meetings this season and he’ll have more defensive responsibility in this one since L.A. is without two frontcourt starters.
It’s only a lean because the Warriors will go into significant offensive lulls for stretches of games due to being too reliant on Curry’s production.
Over/Under (O/U)
Each team is better on the defensive end of the floor with L.A. the top-ranked defensive-rated team and Golden State ranking seventh.
The Warriors are well-equipped to deal with LeBron with three above-average wings in Kelly Oubre Jr., Andrew Wiggins and defensive Swiss Army Knife Draymond Green.
Finally, the teams are a combined 31-46 O/U this season, the Lakers are 1-6 O/U in their last seven games as favorites and the Warriors are 1-4 O/U in their last five as home underdogs.
The UNDER 223.5 (-110) for 1 unit is the best play in Lakers-Warriors.
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Also see:
- Davis (Achilles/calf) out at least another two weeks (LeBron Wire)
- Curry receives custom-designed shoes from his children for his birthday (Warriors Wire)
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