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The Los Angeles Dodgers (26-14) and San Diego Padres (21-20) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Petco Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 4-2
The Padres have won back-to-back games and are coming off a 2-1 victory as +150 home underdogs over the Dodgers in the series opener Friday. The Padres have won 3 of their last 4 games and 7 of their last 9. San Diego is 21-19 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
Friday’s loss snapped a 7-game winning streak for the Dodgers. It was the 1st time they had scored 1 or fewer runs since April 28. Los Angeles is 21-19 ATS on the season and 10-6 straight up on the road.
Dodgers at Padres projected starters
LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Matt Waldron
Paxton (4-0, 3.06 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 6.7 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 32 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-1 home victory over Atlanta Braves Sunday
- 2024 road splits: 2-0, 4.02 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 14 H, 1 HR, 9 BB, 9 K in 3 starts
- Career vs. Padres: 2-1, 2.55 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.58 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 5 starts
Waldron (1-4, 5.82 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 34 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 11-4 setback at Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
- 2024 home splits: 0-3, 7.98 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 22 H, 3 HR, 2 BB, 13 K in 3 starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 1 start, a 5-2 home win April 13
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Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -146 (bet $146 to win $100) | Padres +124 (bet $100 to win $124)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-132)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Padres 3
Moneyline
BET DODGERS (-146).
The Dodgers are 5-1 in Paxton’s 6 starts this season, having taken down the Braves 5-1 and Diamondbacks 8-4 in his last 2 outings. Los Angeles is 3-0 in its last 3 games after a loss and 9-4 on the season.
The Padres have lost Waldron’s last 2 starts and allowed at least 5 runs in each outing. Considering the trends for both sides, back DODGERS (-146).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
While there’s a case to be made for the Dodgers’ run line as well, their moneyline is playable here and the preferred route.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-104).
The Padres have gone Under in 3 straight games, and their offense, despite winning 2 of the 3, has been absent. They have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and tallied just 17 in their last 5.
The Dodgers have gone Under in 2 straight games and 6 of their last 9. Los Angeles has gone Under in 2 of Paxton’s last 3 starts. Back UNDER 9 (-104).
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