The Los Angeles Dodgers (20-14) visit the San Diego Padres (18-16) Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. Sunday’s first pitch from Petco Park is at is 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Padres took the series opener 5-2 Friday. OF Fernando Tatis Jr. homered twice, including a 2-run shot as part of a 3-run 5th inning to lead the Padres to victory. San Diego has won 5 of its last 7 games.
The Dodgers bounced back with a 2-1 win Saturday. RHP Dustin May tossed 6 scoreless innings and 3B Chris Taylor’s 4th-inning 2-run homer was enough offense to win. Los Angeles has won 7 of its last 8 games.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Dodgers at Padres projected starters
LHP Julio Urias vs. RHP Joe Musgrove
Urias (4-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 39 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 2 or fewer ER in 5 of his 7 starts
- 6-1 with 2.19 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 10 starts and 5 relief appearances in his career vs. Padres
Musgrove (1-0, 10.80 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 1 BB and 9 K through 8 1/3 IP.
- Was chased after 3 1/3 IP in his last outing, allowing 7 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 3 K to the San Francisco Giants on April 29
- 0-6 with 4.04 ERA in 9 career starts vs. Dodgers
Dodgers vs. Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+155) | Padres +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Padres 2
Moneyline
If Urias’ last start indicates how he will pitch on Sunday, it will be a rough game for the Padres.
The key for the Padres is getting to 5 runs. They are 10-0 in the last 10 games they have scored 5 or more runs.
Opponents have scored fewer than 5 runs in 5 of Urias’ 7 starts.
I like the Dodgers for the win, but they usually win games by more than 1 run, so the spread is the better bet here.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Sixteen of the Dodgers’ 20 wins this season are by 2 or more runs.
Eleven of the Padres’ 16 losses are by at least 2 runs.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+155).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
The last 9 games between the 2 teams have not had more than 8 total runs.
The Padres’ last 4 games have not had more than 8 runs.
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]