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The Los Angeles Dodgers (55-36) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (58-32) Tuesday in the opener of a 3-game set at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won 4-2 last year
The Dodgers took 2 of 3 from the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend but fell 9-2 Sunday as -170 home favorites. C Will Smith calmed down, going 0-for-4 in the loss after he hit 4 homers in the first 2 games. He’s up to 15 homers and 55 RBIs on the season.
The Phils dropped 2 of 3 at the Atlanta Braves — after taking the series opener — and have lost 3 of 4 overall. They were blanked 6-0 Sunday as +142 underdogs and 5-1 Saturday as +110 dogs. The losses of 1B Bryce Harper and DH/LF Kyle Schwarber to the injured list are starting to catch up to Philly. However, 3B Alec Bohm is 2nd in the NL with 70 RBIs on the year — only behind Atlanta DH Marcell Ozuna (73).
Dodgers at Phillies projected starters
RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Zack Wheeler
Miller (1-1, 6.12 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 25 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 6-5 home loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks July 3
- Career vs. Phillies: 1 road start, win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 9-0 rout June 10, 2023
Wheeler (9-4, 2.74 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 111 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-3 win at Chicago Cubs Wednesday
- Career vs. Dodgers: 2-2, 4.72 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 6 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Dodgers at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Dodgers at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Dodgers 3
Moneyline
I’m not thrilled with the Phillies offense, but Miller has allowed 2 or more runs in 5 straight starts. Meanwhile, Wheeler has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. Both teams possess great bullpens, and remember, the Dodgers are without SS Mookie Betts as well.
TAKE PHILLIES (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS, but as mentioned, Wheeler hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in 6 of his last 7 outings and has only allowed 2 or more runs in 4 of 18 starts this year.
BET ZACK WHEELER UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS (-125).
Over/Under
The wind is forecast to blow out to center at 9 mph, but that may work in our favor. The Over was 0-1-2 in this head-to-head series at Citizens Bank Park last June. Both offenses are missing major cogs. I dig UNDER 9 (-115).
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