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The Los Angeles Angels (63-69) and Philadelphia Phillies (73-58) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 1-0 after a 6-4 win Monday
The Angels have really been struggling, losing 6 of their last 8 games and going 7-18 since the calendar turned to August.
The Phillies have won 6 of their last 7 games and while they won’t be catching the Atlanta Braves in the NL East, they currently hold a 4-game lead for the top NL Wild Card spot.
Angels at Phillies projected starters
LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen
Anderson (5-5, 5.35 ERA) makes his 22nd start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 117 2/3 IP.
- Last appearance: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K in relief in a 9-4 loss at the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 2-3, 5.63 ERA (64 IP, 40 ER) with 7.6 K/9 in 11 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Career vs. Phillies: 2-1, 4.66 ERA (29 IP, 15 ER) with 8.1 K/9 in 5 starts, most recently in May 2022
Lorenzen (7-8, 3.69 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 131 2/3 IP for the Phillies and Detroit Tigers.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 BB, 4 K in 8-6 loss to San Francisco Giants Wednesday
- Boasts a 2.45 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 4 ER) with 9 K and 7 BB in 2 home starts with the Phillies
- Tossed a no-hitter in his 2nd start with Philadelphia but has followed it up with 11 runs allowed (10 ER) in 9 IP over his 2 subsequent turns
- Career vs. Angels: 0-1, 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER) with 12 K and 1 BB in 1 start and 4 relief appearances
- 2023 vs. Angels: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 6-0 loss on July 27 as a member of Tigers
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Angels at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Angels at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Angels 4
Moneyline
These teams are headed in opposite directions, as the Angels have collapsed since the trade deadline while the Phillies have been on fire. A small play here makes sense, but the run line looks like a better value, so the recommendation is to SKIP the moneyline.
Run line/Against the spread
The Phillies are 40-25 at home, which is good for 6th best in the league, and they have scored 79 runs in their last 11 games (7.2 per game).
The Angels have scored just 97 runs in their last 29 games (3.3 per game).
Look for the Phillies to win by more than a run and back the PHILLIES -1.5 (+120).
Over/Under
Anderson has struggled throughout most of the season and is facing a red-hot Phillies offense in a hitter-friendly park. Lorenzen threw 124 pitches in his no-hitter and hasn’t fared well in his past 2 outings, with a 5/4 K/BB and a total of just 13 swinging strikes. Until we see another good start from him, a shutdown performance can’t be expected. This total should sneak just OVER 9.5 (-110).
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