The Golden State Warriors host the LA Lakers at the Chase Center Tuesday. Tip in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals is set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Lakers vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors beat the Sacramento Kings in Game 7 on Sunday 120-110 and covered as a 1-point road underdog. Golden State was 3-4 against the spread (ATS) in the series and just 1-2 at home. It ended the regular season 39-41-2 ATS.
The Lakers took down the Memphis Grizzlies in 6 games as was 4-2 ATS in that series, but just 1-2 ATS on the road. It finished the season 40-41-1 ATS. LA is 5-6 ATS over its last 11 games.
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Lakers at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lakers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Warriors -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Lakers +4.5 (-110) | Warriors -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Lakers at Warriors key injuries
Lakers
- F Anthony Davis (foot) probable
- F LeBron James (foot) probable
Warriors
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Lakers at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 115, Lakers 108
Moneyline
PASS.
The Warriors were among the best home teams in the NBA this season, but to win outright at (-190), they have little value.
The Lakers could be worthy of a look on the moneyline at (+155), but given I prefer the Warriors’ home strength over their potentially tired legs, I’d ultimately look to the spread for value.
Against the spread
BET WARRIORS -4.5 (-110).
Golden State, postseason included, is 28-15-1 ATS at home, and despite going 1-2 ATS against Sacramento, it still has the best home-covering record in the NBA. It has had strength in numbers and should bounce back well against a familiar foe.
The Lakers, on the other hand, were just 20-23-1 ATS on the road. The Grizzlies didn’t play overly well for much of the series and scored under 105 in 3 of the 6 games. The Warriors have a more fluid offense that will put on display some of the Lakers’ defensive issues.
The Dubs should perform well at home and keep on rolling. Take WARRIORS -4.5 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 227.5 (-110).
The Warriors were 3-4 O/U in their 1st-round series while the Lakers were 2-4 O/U. There were only 16 playoff teams in the postseason, and the Warriors and Lakers both ranked outside the top half in effective field goal percentage after Round 1.
These teams didn’t shoot that well, and in a higher-intensity environment, expect a slower-paced game. Back the UNDER 227.5 (-110).
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