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The Atlanta Braves (81-68) welcome the LA Dodgers (88-61) to Truist Park for the finale of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 4-2
The Braves won the 1st 2 games of the series, beating the Dodgers 6-2 Friday and 10-1 Saturday. They lost 9-2 Sunday though, closing as a +102 underdog.
Atlanta has won 3 of its last 5 games and sits 3rd in the NL East. It is 42-32 at home this season and 69-80 against the spread (ATS). The Braves are 5-5 over their last 10.
The Dodgers are 2-4 over their last 6 games and lost 2 of 3 to the Chicago Cubs in the series prior. Los Angeles is 40-34 on the road and 74-75 ATS.
Dodgers at Braves projected starters
RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. LHP Max Fried
Yamamoto (6-2, 2.77 ERA) makes his 16th career start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 78 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 6-3 home loss to the Chicago Cubs Tuesday
- 2024 away stats: 3-1, 2.08 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 165 starts
- First time facing the Braves
Fried (9-9, 3.46 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 153 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 11 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-1 road loss to the Washington Nationals Wednesday
- 2024 home stats: 3-3, 3.58 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 10 starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 3-3, 3.02 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 9 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Dodgers at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Braves +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+145) | Braves +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Dodgers at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Braves 2
Moneyline
BET DODGERS (-120).
The Braves haven’t performed well with Fried on the mound over the last few weeks. They are 2-4 in his last 6 starts and have allowed at least 5 runs in 2 of his last 4 starts. Atlanta, in its last series against a team of the Dodgers caliber, lost 3 of 4 on the road to the Philadelphia Phillies, so it has struggled to consistently beat top teams as well.
The Dodgers are 5-3 over their last 8 road games and have found their offense again, having scored at least 9 in 2 of their last 4. Expect LA to stay hot and take DODGERS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s no great value here. The Dodgers are too risky to play as a run-line favorite while the Braves are far too expensive to take as a run-line underdog. Avoid this play.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).
The Braves are 4-10 O/U in their last 14 games and have scored 3 of fewer runs in 8 of those 14 games. They have also allowed 3 or fewer runs in 11 of those 14. Atlanta is 56-88-5 O/U.
The Dodgers are 80-65-4 O/U, yet are 1-2 O/U in Yamamoto’s last 3 starts. Considering the Braves trends and the pitching quality starting on the mound, take UNDER 7.5 (+100).
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