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The Atlanta Braves (79-67) welcome the LA Dodgers (87-59) to Truist Park Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 3-0
The Braves lost 5-1 to the Washington Nationals in the 2nd of their 2-game series Wednesday, closing as a -165 favorite. Atlanta has traded off winning and losing over its last 8 games. It won 2 of 3 against the Toronto Blue Jays in its last 3-game series. The Braves are 40-31 at home and 67-79 against the spread (ATS).
The Dodgers beat the Chicago Cubs 10-8 Wednesday at home, avoiding a sweep with the victory. They allowed at least 6 runs to the Cubs in all 3 games. Los Angeles has lost 2 of its last 3 games and 4 of its last 7. It still sits atop the NL West though. The Dodgers are 39-32 on the road and 73-73 ATS.
Dodgers at Braves projected starters
RHP Landon Knack vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach
Knack (2-3, 3.00 ERA) makes his 10th career start and 11th appearance. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 54 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 home loss to the Cleveland Guardians Friday
- 2024 away stats: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (24 IP, 8 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 5 appearances (3 starts)
- First time facing Braves
Schwellenbach (5-7, 3.78 ERA) makes his 18th career start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 97 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 9-5 road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Saturday
- 2024 home stats: 3-4, 4.05 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 8 starts
- First time facing Dodgers
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Dodgers at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:21 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+150) | Braves +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Dodgers at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Dodgers 4
Moneyline
BET BRAVES (-110).
Atlanta is the 7th-best team in the majors following a loss with a 38-28 record. It is 4-0 in its last 4 games after a defeat. The Braves have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 10 of their last 12 games. They have been strong defensively while the Dodgers have given up far too many runs as of late.
Los Angeles has allowed 24 runs in his last 3 games. Knack has started just 1 game since July 23 as well. That resulted in a 3-1 loss to the Cleveland Guardians. Considering those trends, take BRAVES (-110).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s no value here. Playing a team-specific wager is better served on the moneyline than the spread in this battle.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-115).
The Dodgers have gone Over in 3 straight games and are 4-2-1 O/U in their last 7. They have scored 28 runs over their last 5 games and have aforementioned issues with their recent pitching as well. Los Angeles is 78-64-4 O/U on the season.
The Braves have gone Over in 2 of their last 5 games. They are 2-1 O/U in Schwellenbach’s last 3 starts. With rookie pitchers on the mound, either could give up big runs as both teams have potent offenses.
Take OVER 8.5 (-115).
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