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The Kansas City Royals (57-49) and Chicago White Sox (27-81) open a 3-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Royals lead 9-1
The Royals dropped 2 of 3 games to the visiting Chicago Cubs over the weekend. They wrapped up the series with a 7-3 loss as -176 favorites Sunday with the Over (9) hitting. Kansas City has lost back-to-back games and 4 of 5.
The White Sox have been swept in 4 straight series. They’re coming off a 6-3 loss as +111 home underdogs against the Seattle Mariners Sunday with the Over (7) cashing for a 3rd straight game. Chicago has lost 14 consecutive games, 10 of which were by 3 or more runs.
Royals at White Sox projected starters
RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Chris Flexen
Marsh (7-7, 4.75 ERA) makes his 19th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 96 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-2 home defeat vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
- 2024 road stats: 3-4, 5.11 ERA (44 IP, 25 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 8 starts
- 2024 vs. White Sox: 0-0, 4.76 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.94 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
- Career vs. White Sox: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 3 appearances (1 start)
Flexen (2-10, 5.25 ERA) makes his 21st start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 106 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 10-2 setback at Texas Rangers Wednesday
- 2024 home stats: 1-5, 4.80 ERA (60 IP, 32 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 12 starts
- 2024 vs. Royals: 0-2, 8.18 ERA (11 IP, 10 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 2 starts
- Career vs. Royals: 2-2, 4.38 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 5 appearances (4 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Royals at White Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | White Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (-105) | White Sox +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Royals at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 5, White Sox 2
Moneyline
The Royals (-165) have dominated the White Sox this season, going 9-1 straight up over 10 meetings and 8-2 on the run line. With how much lower the vig is on the run line, PASS on the ML.
Run line/Against the spread
The Royals’ average margin of victory against the White Sox this season has been 3.2 runs per game, and their last 7 wins against the White Sox have been by multiple runs.
Chicago has lost Flexen’s last 4 starts by 2 or more runs, and he has been the least profitable pitcher in MLB this season, according to OddsShark.com. If a bettor were to risk $100 on White Sox ML every time Flexen started a game this year, they would be down $1,415.
BET ROYALS -1.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Under has gone 9-1 in 10 meetings between these teams. The lone Over was a 10-1 Kansas City win April 4, the 1st time these teams met this season. The White Sox have scored 2 or fewer runs in 9 of the 10 contests — they lost 5-3 April 7 in their best offensive showing in the season series — averaging 1.2 runs per game.
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
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