Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (40-62) take on the Chicago White Sox (51-50) Monday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 4-4.

The Royals snapped a 5-game losing streak Sunday by taking down the mighty New York Yankees 8-6. Kansas City has started shipping off assets before the Tuesday trade deadline as they sent OF Andrew Benintendi to the Yankees. More veterans could be on their way out.

The White Sox are showing signs of life as they’re 6-4 in the last 10 and 12-8 in the last 20. They’re a team to watch at the deadline because they’re just 2 games out of 1st place in the AL Central after a dismal 1st half. They just took 2 of 3 from the lowly Oakland Athletics and should do at least the same against the Royals.

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Royals at White Sox projected starters

RHP Brad Keller vs. RHP Michael Kopech

Keller (5-11, 4.18 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 107 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 4.76 ERA in his last 4 starts
  • Has a 2.57 ERA and 0.79 WHIP with 6 K in 14 IP against the White Sox this year

Kopech (4-6, 3.16 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 88 1/3 IP.

  • Is a little more hittable at home with a 3.22 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 vs. 3.09 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.5 K/9 on road
  • Allowed 2 ER on 3 H, 4 BB and 3 K in 5 IP against KC April 28

Royals at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:28 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | White Sox -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Royals at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 5, Royals 3

Money line

This is a slippery slope because Kopech’s walk total could decide this one. In 2 career starts against KC, he has allowed just 5 hits, but walked 6 in 9 innings. He has also walked 3 or more in 5 of his last 6 starts. I think the White Sox, playing at home, have enough to get this done. Take the WHITE SOX (-170) for a HALF UNIT.

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Run line/Against the spread

I don’t trust the Royals’ offense to stay within a run, and I don’t trust Chicago to win by 2. One prop bet I am confident in, though, is KOPECH UNDER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS (-150). Kopech should be a K-per-inning pitcher, but his lack of control holds him back. In 2 career starts against the Royals, he struck out 3 and 5 hitters. He has only struck out 6 once in his last 8 starts. The Royals also don’t strike out much as they’re the 7th-toughest team to whiff.

Over/Under

I’m going to stay away from this one. The Under was 9.5 (-135) Monday  morning, and it has been bet down to 8.5. There’s not enough wiggle room in there for me to indulge. PASS.

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