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The Indiana Fever and the Connecticut Sun play Game 1 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series Sunday at Mohegan Sun Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Fever vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Regular-season series: Sun won 3-1
The Fever secured the No. 6 seed in the WNBA playoffs after finishing 20-20 in the regular season. That includes a 1-3 straight up (SU) and 2-2 against the spread (ATS) record in 4 games against the Sun, while the Over and Under also split 2-2.
Rookie Caitlin Clark averaged 16.5 PPG, 3.8 APG, 2.0 RPG, 1.3 SPG and 3.0 3PT in 4 regular-season meetings with the Sun, while also averaging 6.3 turnovers per game.
Indiana is making its 1st appearance in the postseason since losing in the 1st round of the 2016 playoffs against the Phoenix Mercury.
Connecticut went to the Eastern Finals last season, and it won the 1st game on the road against the New York Liberty. However, it ended up losing the best-of-5 series 3-1.
Fever at Sun odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Fever +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Sun -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Fever +5.5 (-115) | Sun -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Fever at Sun picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 91, Fever 79
Moneyline
The Sun (-225) is just a little too expensive to bet straight up, as they’ll cost you more than 2 times your potential return. However, if you were to toss them into a multi-leg parlay, that isn’t terribly priced out of line.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
CONNECTICUT -5.5 (-105) handled its business against Indiana +5.5 (-115) in the 1st 3 meetings of the regular season, with the Fever winning the most recent game in Indianapolis.
In the 2 meetings at Mohegan Sun Arena, the Sun won and covered both games by an average of 19.0 PPG.
Look for the Sun to get off on the right foot in this series which will get a ton of eyeballs because of CC22.
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Over/Under
OVER 163.5 (-110) is worth a look in the series opener.
Clark hit 3 or more triples in 3 of the 4 meetings with Connecticut this season, which is quite amazing considering the Sun has a tremendous perimeter defense.
Indiana cashed high in 7 of the final 9 regular-season games, while Connecticut went 2-2 in the final 4 games of the season.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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