Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars odds, picks and predictions

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The Houston Texans (0-2) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) in an AFC South clash Sunday. Kickoff from EverBank Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Texans vs. Jaguars odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Houston suffered a 31-20 loss in its Week 2 action vs. the Indianapolis Colts, failing to cover as a 1-point favorite. Rookie QB C.J. Stroud continued his solid start to his rookie campaign as he completed 30 of his 47 passes for 384 yards and 2 TDs. What killed Houston was its defense that allowed 227 passing yards, 171 of which to Colts backup QB Gardner Minshew, while coming up with 0 turnovers, 0 sacks and 0 tackles for loss.

Jacksonville failed to stay undefeated to start its season as the Jags lost 17-9 vs. the Kansas City Chiefs at home in Week 2, failing to cover as +3 underdogs. Jacksonville’s offense struggled in that loss as QB Trevor Lawrence only completed 22 of his 41 passes for 216 yards, and the Jags totaled only 74 rushing yards.

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Texans at Jaguars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texans +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Jaguars -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans +7.5 (-105) | Jaguars -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texans at Jaguars key injuries

Texans

LB Denzel Perryman (hand/wrist) out
S Jalen Pitre (chest) out
CB Derek Stingley Jr. (hamstring) out
CB Tavierre Thomas (hand) out
OT Laremy Tunsil (knee) questionable

Jaguars

LB Josh Allen (shoulder) questionable
DT Folorunso Fatukasi (shoulder) questionable
S Antonio Johnson (hamstring) questionable
WR Zay Jones (knee) questionable
S Andrew Wingard (shoulder) questionable

Texans at Jaguars picks and predictions

Prediction

Jaguars 24, Texans 14

Moneyline

PASS.

The Jaguars should be able to pick up the win, but as (-375) favorites, the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN JAGUARS -7.5 (-115).

I expect this to be a closer game than some may expect, but in the end I like the Jags to pull away and cover as 8.5-point favorites. Houston has proven to be a very pass-heavy offense, and that will likely keep them in this game vs. this Jags secondary that has shown they can give up a lot of yards. However, I expect the lack of a true rushing attack to make this Houston offense more predictable, which will likely lead to the Jaguars pulling away in the 4th quarter as they should have the Texans’ scheme figured out by then.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 44 (-110).

Jacksonville is a very talented team, but its offense has not been firing on all cylinders through its 1st 2 weeks. I do expect WR Calvin Ridley to give this Texans secondary some fits, but overall I like this game to hit the Under. Houston is 17th in offensive yards per game with 328.5 and Jacksonville is 22nd with 306.5, showing that neither of these offenses has blown the top off of defenses thus far into the season.

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