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The Houston Astros (31-37) and San Francisco Giants (33-35) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Oracle Park is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
Houston beat San Francisco 3-1 in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday while cashing as a +103 road underdog. The Astros broke the 1-1 tie in the top of the 5th innings thanks to an error by 3B Matt Chapman. Tuesday’s win snapped a 2-game losing skid for Houston.
RHP Jordan Hicks picked up the loss for San Francisco, allowing 3 ER on 5 hits and 1 walk with 5 K’s in 4 2/3 innings. The Giants have lost 2 of their last 3 outings.
Astros at Giants projected starters
LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Logan Webb
Valdez (5-3, 3.53 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 63 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 9 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 7-1 victory at Los Angeles Angels Friday
- Career vs. San Francisco: 1-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 2 starts
Webb (5-5, 2.92 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 86 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 victory at Texas Rangers Friday
- Career vs. Houston: 2-1, 3.18 ERA (17 IP, 6 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 3 starts
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Astros at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+165) | Giants +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Astros at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 3, Astros 1
Moneyline
LEAN GIANTS (-115).
San Francisco is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings overall and 3-1 in the last 4 meetings at Oracle Park.
This is only a lean because the Astros enter as the slightly hotter team, going 6-4 in their last 10 games overall and 3-2 in their last 5 on the road, while the Giants are only 4-6 in their last 10 and 1-4 in their last 5 at home.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Giants to cover here as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but the line is simply not worth the risk of betting on at this price. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).
The Under has hit in 4 of Houston’s last 5 road games and is 7-3 in its last 10 overall. For San Francisco, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 outings. The Under has also hit in each of the last 4 Houston-San Francisco matchups overall and is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings in the Bay Area.
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