The Indiana Pacers (15-14) host the Golden State Warriors (17-15) Wednesday at the Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Warriors-Pacers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Golden State picked up a 114-106 road win over the New York Knicks as 4-point favorites last night to end a two-game losing streak. The only two Warrior bigs—Cs James Wiseman and Kevon Looney—both returned from injuries that sidelined them for 11 and 10 games, respectively.
The Pacers have been on a hiatus since last Wednesday due to COVID-19 issues, but like the Warriors, are 3-2 overall and ATS in their previous five games. Indiana has been disappointing at home this season as the Pacers are 7-9 overall and 6-10 ATS in home games.
The Warriors lost the first meeting of the season against the Pacers 104-95 as 3.5-point underdogs in Indiana. The game got away from Golden State in the second half with Indiana outscoring the Warriors 54-38.
Warriors at Pacers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Warriors +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Pacers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Warriors +1.5 (-105) | Pacers -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Warriors at Pacers: Key injuries
Warriors
- None.
Pacers
- SG Caris LeVert (medical condition) out
- SF T.J. Warren (foot) out
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Warriors at Pacers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Warriors 116, Pacers 110
Money line (ML)
Situationally, this spot stinks for Golden State, but they match up very well against the Pacers. Golden State is 11th in 3-point percentage, Indiana is 23rd in 3-point defense and the Warriors play good defense on what the Pacers do frequently.
Indiana averages the most shots within five feet of the basket per game, but the Warriors have the 6th-best defensive field goal percentage on attempts within five feet of the basket.
Also, Draymond Green has held Pacers’ Domantas Sabonis in check throughout their careers. Sabonis is only scoring 10.4 points per game on 42.5% shooting with 7.6 rebounds in his eight career games vs. Green, and Sabonis has a minus-12 net rating in his career against the Warriors.
GIMME WARRIORS (+105) for 1 unit.
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Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the spread unless it gets up to Warriors +2.5 or greater.
Over/Under (O/U)
This number is way too high considering the first Warriors-Pacers meeting went Under by 28 points.
The market seems to think that result was a fluke, but I laid out why Golden State should be able to defend Indiana and Pacers PG Malcolm Brogdon has minimized the damage done by Steph Curry in their few head-to-head matchups over the years.
Additionally, the nervousness I have about taking the Warriors is the chance they are tired with this being their fourth road game in six nights. If Golden State has tired legs then how do we not love the Under here?
BET UNDER 231.5 (-110) for 1 unit but wait closer to tip-off because the market has hammered the Over all morning.
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Also see:
- Warriors’ James Wiseman puts up 14 points in return from wrist injury (Rookie Wire)
- 3 things to know: Steph Curry helps Warriors finally close in 4th quarter to hold on vs. Knicks, 114-106 (Warriors Wire)
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