Warriors Pacers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (14-14) face the Indiana Pacers (14-14) Wednesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Pacers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors suffered a 128-111 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks Tuesday as they failed to cover as 3-point underdogs on the road. Golden State has lost 3 of its last 4 games.

The Pacers lost 87-82 to the Miami Heat Monday as they failed to cover as 3.5-point home underdogs. Indiana has also lost 3 of its last 4 games.

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Warriors at Pacers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pacers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -1.5 (-110) | Pacers +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Warriors at Pacers key injuries

Warriors

Not yet submitted

Pacers

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 116, Pacers 110

Moneyline

Being that it’s basically a coin flip between Golden State and Indiana, WARRIORS (-120) is the ideal choice in this game. The Warriors have certainly struggled on the road this season, but you have to assume the reigning champions will improve on the road at some point.

Against the spread

WARRIORS -1.5 (-110) is an intriguing wager at slightly better odds than the moneyline as we only need them to win by 2 points to cover the spread. While the Warriors have rested veterans on back-to-backs before, their veterans didn’t play much of the 4th quarter of Tuesday’s blowout loss to the Bucks.

The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 following an ATS loss, while the Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 day of rest.

Over/Under

Even though both of these teams are top 5 in pace, UNDER 237.5 (-115) is where I’m leaning in this contest. Both of these teams have hit the Under in 4 of their last 6 games.

The Pacers are also 3-0-1 to the Under in their last 4 games following an ATS loss, and the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the Warriors and Pacers.

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Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (21-5) cruise over to Gainbridge Fieldhouse Monday for a 7 p.m. ET game against the Indiana Pacers (12-16). Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Golden State has split its last six games 3-3 overall (2-4 ATS) with the latest being a 102-93 loss at the Philadelphia 76ers Saturday. The Warriors are 17-8-1 ATS and 7-18-1 O/U on the season with the second-best non-garbage time efficiency differential according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CtG).

Indiana has three straight wins over the Washington Wizards, New York Knicks and Dallas Mavericks entering Monday (2-0-1 ATS). The Pacers are 14-13-1 ATS and 13-15 O/U with the ninth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (CtG).

These two sides both won and covered one game against each other last season and the Under was 2-0 in those games.

Warriors at Pacers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Pacers +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -3.5 (-112) | Pacers +3.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Warriors at Pacers key injuries

Warriors

SF Andre Iguodala (rest) out

Pacers

SF Justin Holiday (health and safety protocols) questionable

Warriors at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 107, Pacers 104

Money line

PASS because I’m not confident enough in Indiana getting points to sprinkle on the Pacers (+133). I’d need Indiana’s money line to be priced around +190 to take a shot at it.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the PACERS +3.5 (-108) because this line feels suspiciously low considering the difference between these two teams’ records. However, the oddsmakers understand that Indiana is better than its record indicates.

The Pacers’ minus-4.6 win differential is the worst in the NBA and Indiana’s in the top-10 of net efficiency despite its losing record. The Pacers are also 10-5 ATS against teams with a winning record and have been playing better recently.

Indiana is plus-6.6 points per 100 possessions over the last two weeks (ranked sixth) while Golden State is plus-3.8 points per 100 possessions (ranked 10th), per CtG.

This Pacers roster is familiar with and has played well against these Warriors. Indiana beat Golden State last season and the Pacers’ loss in the other game ended in a four-point final scoring margin, and both Steph Curry and Draymond Green played in Indiana’s victory against Golden State last season.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 214.5 (-115) because the Warriors are 2-8 O/U on the road, the Pacers are 2-9 O/U with a minus-16.6 margin on the total as an underdog and the Under has cashed in three of the past four Warriors-Pacers meetings.

In addition, the Warriors have struggled offensively recently: Golden State is 24th in points per 100 possessions scored in competitive times over the past two weeks.

For what it’s worth, the UNDER 214.5 (-115) is my favorite wager in the Warriors-Pacers meeting.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Indiana Pacers (15-14) host the Golden State Warriors (17-15) Wednesday at the Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Warriors-Pacers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Golden State picked up a 114-106 road win over the New York Knicks as 4-point favorites last night to end a two-game losing streak. The only two Warrior bigs—Cs James Wiseman and Kevon Looney—both returned from injuries that sidelined them for 11 and 10 games, respectively.

The Pacers have been on a hiatus since last Wednesday due to COVID-19 issues, but like the Warriors, are 3-2 overall and ATS in their previous five games. Indiana has been disappointing at home this season as the Pacers are 7-9 overall and 6-10 ATS in home games.

The Warriors lost the first meeting of the season against the Pacers 104-95 as 3.5-point underdogs in Indiana. The game got away from Golden State in the second half with Indiana outscoring the Warriors 54-38.

Warriors at Pacers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Pacers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Warriors +1.5 (-105) | Pacers -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Warriors at Pacers: Key injuries

Warriors

None.

Pacers

SG Caris LeVert (medical condition) out
SF T.J. Warren (foot) out

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Warriors at Pacers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Warriors 116, Pacers 110

Money line (ML)

Situationally, this spot stinks for Golden State, but they match up very well against the Pacers. Golden State is 11th in 3-point percentage, Indiana is 23rd in 3-point defense and the Warriors play good defense on what the Pacers do frequently.

Indiana averages the most shots within five feet of the basket per game, but the Warriors have the 6th-best defensive field goal percentage on attempts within five feet of the basket.

Also, Draymond Green has held Pacers’ Domantas Sabonis in check throughout their careers. Sabonis is only scoring 10.4 points per game on 42.5% shooting with 7.6 rebounds in his eight career games vs. Green, and Sabonis has a minus-12 net rating in his career against the Warriors.

GIMME WARRIORS (+105) for 1 unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the spread unless it gets up to Warriors +2.5 or greater.

Over/Under (O/U)

This number is way too high considering the first Warriors-Pacers meeting went Under by 28 points.

The market seems to think that result was a fluke, but I laid out why Golden State should be able to defend Indiana and Pacers PG Malcolm Brogdon has minimized the damage done by Steph Curry in their few head-to-head matchups over the years.

Additionally, the nervousness I have about taking the Warriors is the chance they are tired with this being their fourth road game in six nights. If Golden State has tired legs then how do we not love the Under here?

BET UNDER 231.5 (-110) for 1 unit but wait closer to tip-off because the market has hammered the Over all morning.

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Also see:

Warriors’ James Wiseman puts up 14 points in return from wrist injury (Rookie Wire)
3 things to know: Steph Curry helps Warriors finally close in 4th quarter to hold on vs. Knicks, 114-106 (Warriors Wire)

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