The Florida State Seminoles (1-8, 0-0 ACC) and No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers (6-0, 0-0) lift the lid on their respective ACC season Saturday in Charlottesville. The opening tip at John Paul Jones Arena will be at 2 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida State vs. Virginia odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Florida State is coming off back-to-back losses against Big Ten foes Nebraska and Purdue and has lost 4 consecutive games. Expectations of this Seminoles squad have gotten low enough that they were 16-point underdogs in Wednesday’s 79-69 loss to the Boilermakers.
The Cavaliers are coming off back-to-back ATS losses by 1.5-point margins. The most recent of those was a 70-68 triumph at Michigan Tuesday as 3.5-point favorites. The Wolverines shot 53.1% from the floor in that game and actually led the contest for more than 20 minutes.
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Florida State at Virginia odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Florida State +875 (bet $100 to win $875) | Virginia -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +19.5 (-115) | Virginia -19.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Florida State at Virginia picks and predictions
Prediction
Virginia 69, Florida State 52
Moneyline
PASS.
Peg true odds as being tangled in the heavy rough between these prices.
Against the spread
Slow-tempo Virginia is thus far 3-1 ATS in games against up-tempo opponents, but there aren’t really any comps for this mid-level (rated No. 160 on KenPom) FSU five.
A veteran Cavaliers team will be mostly content to get this one out of reach late and then constrict the life out of the ‘Noles. So, the points here are a lot. On the other side, Florida State has earned a no-confidence vote until further notice. Trouble both shooting the ball and rebounding is not a recipe for success.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 6-1 in the Seminoles’ last 7 games following a double-digit home loss.
The Over has trended in this series, but the total also has not been this high since Jan. 5, 2019, when the Under hit in a 65-52 UVA triumph. That’s roughly how Saturday’s contest lays out: a Wahoos win by a figure in the mid-teens or so. With UVA scoring fewer than 75 points.
TAKE THE UNDER 130.5 (-115).
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