ESPN’s Bill Connelly has released his preseason SP+ rankings, and Florida is ranked fifth heading into the 2020 season.
SP+ is an analytics system devised by Connelly to rank every college football team at the FBS level. One of the main components of the rankings is that they aren’t weighted by wins and losses, but rather team performance and expected win probability based on said performances.
Despite the fact that two leagues in both the Power Five and the Group of Five have canceled the fall season and only 76 of the 130 FBS teams are currently planning on having a season in the fall, these rankings include every team at the FBS level, even teams that have decided to cancel/postpone.
Florida is the third-highest ranked SEC team on the SP+, behind No. 2 Alabama and No. 4 Georgia. No. 1 Ohio State and No. 3 Clemson round out the top five.
Within the SP+ top 15, there are three more SEC squads: No. 10 Texas A&M, No. 11 Auburn and No. 13 LSU.
Here are the full rankings.
Overall SP+ Rankings
| TEAM | PROJ. SP+ | OFFENSE | DEFENSE |
AVG. WINS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Ohio St. | 30.1 | 44.2 (3) | 14.1 (4) | N/A |
| 2. Alabama | 29.0 | 46.4 (1) | 17.4 (19) | 10 (8.0) |
| 3. Clemson | 26.0 | 42.5 (4) | 16.5 (12) | 11 (9.5) |
| 4. Georgia | 25.5 | 32.3 (29) | 6.8 (1) | 10 (7.6) |
| 5. Florida | 23.8 | 37.8 (11) | 14.1 (3) | 10 (7.5) |
| 6. Oklahoma | 22.7 | 44.6 (2) | 21.9 (36) | 10 (8.3) |
| 7. Penn St. | 22.3 | 39.4 (7) | 17.1 (17) | N/A |
| 8. Wisconsin | 21.6 | 35.9 (17) | 14.3 (5) | N/A |
| 9. Notre Dame | 20.5 | 38.1 (10) | 17.6 (20) | 11 (8.7) |
| 10. Texas A&M | 20.2 | 36.8 (14) | 16.6 (13) | 10 (6.6) |
| 11. Auburn | 20.0 | 35.0 (21) | 14.9 (8) | 10 (6.2) |
| 12. Oregon | 19.7 | 31.8 (36) | 12.1 (2) | N/A |
| 13. LSU | 18.5 | 37.3 (13) | 18.8 (24) | 10 (6.5) |
| 14. Texas | 16.5 | 40.8 (5) | 24.3 (46) | 10 (7.3) |
| 15. Washington | 16.4 | 32.2 (31) | 15.9 (9) | N/A |
| 16. USC | 15.8 | 39.5 (6) | 23.7 (42) | N/A |
| 17. UCF | 15.4 | 34.6 (23) | 19.3 (29) | 9 (7.1) |
| 18. N. Carolina | 15.3 | 39.3 (8) | 24.0 (45) | 11 (8.0) |
| 19. Tennessee | 15.0 | 29.8 (50) | 14.8 (6) | 10 (5.3) |
| 20. Minnesota | 14.3 | 38.8 (9) | 24.5 (48) | N/A |
| 21. Michigan | 13.4 | 31.0 (41) | 17.7 (21) | N/A |
| 22. Kentucky | 13.0 | 32.1 (34) | 19.1 (26) | 10 (5.0) |
| 23. Miami | 12.9 | 28.9 (56) | 16.0 (10) | 11 (6.9) |
| 24. Oklahoma St. | 12.7 | 34.9 (22) | 22.2 (38) | 10 (6.4) |
| 25. Memphis | 12.5 | 36.3 (15) | 23.8 (44) | 10 (7.4) |
| 26. Utah | 11.9 | 36.1 (16) | 24.3 (47) | N/A |
| 27. Florida St. | 11.7 | 32.5 (28) | 20.7 (33) | 11 (6.5) |
| 28. Iowa | 11.3 | 28.4 (59) | 17.1 (15) | N/A |
| 29. Iowa St. | 10.9 | 29.8 (51) | 19.0 (25) | 10 (5.9) |
| 30. Baylor | 10.7 | 34.5 (24) | 23.7 (43) | 10 (6.0) |
| 31. TCU | 10.0 | 30.2 (47) | 20.2 (31) | 10 (5.7) |
| 32. Nebraska | 9.9 | 35.6 (19) | 25.7 (51) | N/A |
| 33. Indiana | 9.8 | 32.0 (35) | 22.2 (37) | N/A |
| 34. Cincinnati | 9.5 | 28.6 (58) | 19.1 (27) | 10 (7.1) |
| 35. Va. Tech | 9.3 | 29.9 (49) | 20.6 (32) | 11 (6.5) |
| 36. S. Carolina | 9.0 | 25.6 (81) | 16.6 (14) | 10 (4.0) |
| 37. Boise St. | 8.6 | 31.6 (37) | 23.0 (40) | N/A |
| 38. Ole Miss | 7.8 | 31.3 (38) | 23.5 (41) | 10 (4.1) |
| 39. App. St. | 7.5 | 35.4 (20) | 27.8 (64) | 11 (9.0) |
| 40. Pittsburgh | 7.4 | 22.3 (101) | 14.9 (7) | 11 (5.8) |
| 41. Louisville | 7.3 | 37.6 (12) | 30.3 (84) | 11 (6.0) |
| 42. Arizona St. | 7.3 | 26.8 (73) | 19.5 (30) | N/A |
| 43. Virginia | 5.9 | 28.2 (60) | 22.3 (39) | 11 (5.8) |
| 44. Missouri | 4.9 | 22.0 (103) | 17.1 (16) | 10 (3.6) |
| 45. Stanford | 4.4 | 31.1 (40) | 26.6 (60) | N/A |
| 46. California | 4.3 | 30.1 (48) | 25.7 (53) | N/A |
| 47. Louisiana | 4.2 | 34.2 (25) | 30.1 (81) | 11 (8.0) |
| 48. Miss. St. | 4.2 | 33.6 (26) | 29.5 (73) | 10 (3.4) |
| 49. Michigan St. | 4.0 | 21.8 (105) | 17.8 (22) | N/A |
| 50. Purdue | 3.7 | 32.2 (30) | 28.6 (69) | N/A |
| 51. BYU | 3.3 | 29.8 (52) | 26.4 (58) | 8 (5.9) |
| 52. Northwestern | 3.0 | 19.3 (114) | 16.3 (11) | N/A |
| 53. SMU | 3.0 | 33.5 (27) | 30.5 (86) | 12 (7.4) |
| 54. Ga. Tech | 2.9 | 24.5 (90) | 21.6 (35) | 11 (4.4) |
| 55. Wash. St. | 2.3 | 35.8 (18) | 33.5 (101) | N/A |
| 56. Kansas St. | 1.9 | 28.0 (64) | 26.1 (56) | 10 (4.1) |
| 57. WKU | 1.9 | 20.3 (111) | 18.4 (23) | 11 (7.3) |
| 58. Houston | 1.1 | 31.1 (39) | 30.0 (78) | 10 (4.8) |
| 59. UCLA | 0.8 | 30.8 (42) | 29.9 (77) | N/A |
| 60. Texas Tech | 0.7 | 30.2 (46) | 29.5 (74) | 10 (4.2) |
| 61. Illinois | 0.7 | 26.4 (76) | 25.7 (52) | N/A |
| 62. Navy | 0.1 | 29.7 (53) | 29.5 (75) | 11 (5.9) |
| 63. Tulane | -0.5 | 27.3 (70) | 27.7 (63) | 11 (5.7) |
| 64. NC St. | -0.5 | 26.0 (79) | 26.6 (59) | 11 (4.6) |
| 65. Ohio | -1.1 | 32.1 (33) | 33.1 (98) | N/A |
| 66. UAB | -1.1 | 18.0 (119) | 19.1 (28) | 11 (7.3) |
| 67. Boston Coll. | -1.4 | 30.6 (43) | 32.0 (95) | 11 (3.9) |
| 68. Temple | -1.5 | 24.5 (89) | 26.0 (55) | 8 (3.2) |
| 69. W. Virginia | -1.6 | 26.4 (77) | 28.0 (66) | 10 (3.7) |
| 70. Oregon St. | -2.0 | 28.0 (63) | 30.0 (79) | N/A |
| 71. Duke | -2.3 | 19.3 (115) | 21.6 (34) | 11 (4.2) |
| 72. SDSU | -2.3 | 14.9 (124) | 17.2 (18) | N/A |
| 73. Buffalo | -2.6 | 24.9 (85) | 27.5 (62) | N/A |
| 74. Marshall | -2.8 | 24.6 (88) | 27.4 (61) | 10 (6.1) |
| 75. Arkansas | -3.2 | 24.8 (87) | 28.0 (65) | 10 (1.5) |
| 76. Colorado St. | -4.2 | 25.9 (80) | 30.1 (83) | N/A |
| 77. Maryland | -4.2 | 24.0 (92) | 28.3 (67) | N/A |
| 78. USF | -4.3 | 20.7 (108) | 24.9 (49) | 11 (4.4) |
| 79. Ball St. | -4.3 | 27.4 (69) | 31.7 (92) | N/A |
| 80. Troy | -4.7 | 29.5 (54) | 34.1 (103) | 12 (7.3) |
| 81. Tulsa | -4.7 | 26.3 (78) | 31.0 (88) | 10 (3.6) |
| 82. WMU | -5.2 | 28.0 (65) | 33.2 (99) | N/A |
| 83. Wyoming | -5.4 | 19.7 (113) | 25.1 (50) | N/A |
| 84. Ga. Southern | -5.6 | 23.3 (98) | 28.9 (70) | 11 (6.5) |
| 85. Colorado | -5.8 | 26.9 (72) | 32.7 (97) | N/A |
| 86. CMU | -5.8 | 24.3 (91) | 30.1 (82) | N/A |
| 87. Syracuse | -5.9 | 25.2 (82) | 31.1 (90) | 11 (3.4) |
| 88. Wake Forest | -5.9 | 20.5 (109) | 26.4 (57) | 11 (3.2) |
| 89. La. Tech | -6.4 | 25.0 (84) | 31.3 (91) | 11 (6.7) |
| 90. Toledo | -6.5 | 28.1 (61) | 34.5 (105) | N/A |
| 91. Arkansas St. | -6.6 | 32.1 (32) | 38.7 (119) | 12 (6.1) |
| 92. So. Miss | -6.7 | 23.7 (96) | 30.4 (85) | 12 (7.4) |
| 93. Hawaii | -6.8 | 30.5 (45) | 37.3 (114) | N/A |
| 94. Arizona | -7.4 | 30.6 (44) | 38.0 (118) | NAA |
| 95. FAU | -7.6 | 23.4 (97) | 31.0 (89) | 9 (4.4) |
| 96. Fresno St. | -8.0 | 28.1 (62) | 36.1 (107) | N/A |
| 97. Utah St. | -8.1 | 23.8 (95) | 32.0 (94) | N/A |
| 98. Charlotte | -8.2 | 29.0 (55) | 37.3 (115) | 11 (4.8) |
| 99. Army | -8.5 | 26.8 (74) | 35.3 (106) | 12 (6.7) |
| 100. ECU | -8.8 | 27.5 (68) | 36.2 (109) | 10 (3.1) |
| 101. Air Force | -8.9 | 21.8 (104) | 30.7 (87) | 2 (0.8) |
| 102. SJSU | -9.1 | 27.8 (67) | 36.9 (113) | N/A |
| 103. Georgia St. | -9.3 | 27.3 (71) | 36.6 (110) | 10 (4.5) |
| 104. FIU | -9.4 | 19.9 (112) | 29.2 (72) | 8 (3.9) |
| 105. Nevada | -9.7 | 20.3 (110) | 30.0 (80) | N/A |
| 106. Rutgers | -10.2 | 18.8 (116) | 29.0 (71) | N/A |
| 107. MTSU | -10.3 | 28.8 (57) | 39.1 (121) | 10 (4.3) |
| 108. Miami-OH | -11.1 | 20.8 (107) | 31.9 (93) | N/A |
| 109. Coastal Caro. | -11.3 | 24.8 (86) | 36.2 (108) | 10 (4.2) |
| 110. Vanderbilt | -11.6 | 14.2 (127) | 25.8 (54) | 10 (0.8) |
| 111. Liberty | -11.8 | 25.0 (83) | 36.8 (112) | 10 (4.8) |
| 112. Kent St. | -12.4 | 26.6 (75) | 39.0 (120) | N/A |
| 113. EMU | -12.5 | 27.8 (66) | 40.3 (125) | N/A |
| 114. N. Texas | -12.6 | 21.6 (106) | 34.2 (104) | 11 (5.2) |
| 115. Kansas | -12.7 | 24.0 (93) | 36.6 (111) | 10 (1.6) |
| 116. Rice | -14.2 | 14.3 (126) | 28.5 (68) | 8 (3.4) |
| 117. NIU | -14.6 | 18.1 (118) | 32.7 (96) | N/A |
| 118. ODU | -15.9 | 14.0 (128) | 29.9 (76) | N/A |
| 119. S. Alabama | -16.4 | 17.3 (122) | 33.7 (102) | 11 (3.4) |
| 120. UL-Monroe | -16.5 | 23.9 (94) | 40.4 (126) | 11 (3.3) |
| 121. New Mexico | -17.3 | 22.9 (100) | 40.2 (123) | N/A |
| 122. UNLV | -17.3 | 22.9 (99) | 40.3 (124) | N/A |
| 123. UTSA | -18.9 | 22.3 (102) | 41.1 (127) | 12 (4.2) |
| 124. Texas St. | -19.2 | 18.3 (117) | 37.5 (116) | 12 (2.8) |
| 125. Akron | -21.0 | 12.5 (129) | 33.5 (100) | N/A |
| 126. UConn | -22.3 | 17.7 (120) | 40.0 (122) | N/A |
| 127. BGSU | -23.1 | 14.5 (125) | 37.5 (117) | N/A |
| 128. UTEP | -29.9 | 15.4 (123) | 45.3 (129) | 9 (1.0) |
| 129. UMass | -30.5 | 17.3 (121) | 47.7 (130) | N/A |
| 130. NMSU | -31.5 | 12.2 (130) | 43.8 (128) | N/A |
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