If this year’s upcoming free agency class feels lighter than some of the most recent ones, the biggest reason is the high rate of extensions that have been signed over the past few seasons. Players have been incentivized to extend now with the salary cap rising at a slower pace following the COVID-19 pandemic. Many are also signing extensions that align their deals around 2025 when the salary cap could rise significantly following a new national television rights deal.
It’s possible we could have fewer extensions this summer than we had in 2020 and 2021 with 2025 just three years away. With that said, there should still be a good amount this offseason. Here is a list of every extension-eligible player, the maximum amounts they can get, and the probability of each player getting extended.