ESPN’s updated Football Power Index rankings are out. This gives us a complete picture of how ESPN’s computers are simulating the 2022 college football season.
For those that are unfamiliar with what exactly the FPI is, here’s how ESPN describes it.
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. – ESPN.
Hawkeyes Wire took a look at the percentage chances ESPN’s FPI gave the Iowa Hawkeyes to win each game on its 2022 schedule. The updated rankings also give us another set to evaluate how all of the Big Ten stacks up at least according to the computers.
In addition to providing each team’s FPI ranking, the tool also forecasts each team’s percentage chance to win out, win six or more games, win their division, win their conference, make the College Football Playoff and to win the national championship.
Only Ohio State and Michigan have better than a 17% chance to make the College Football Playoff according to ESPN’s FPI, so let’s just take a look at all of the other numbers for each team. If you’re interested in the full set of numbers, you can find every team’s national championship chances here.
How do Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State and Penn State stack up in the Big Ten East? What about Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota, Purdue and Wisconsin in the West? Let’s take a look at ESPN’s updated FPI numbers for the Big Ten.