The Duke Blue Devils (17-6, 8-4 ACC) and Miami Hurricanes (18-5, 9-4) meet for a Monday night ACC affair in Coral Gables. The contest at the Watsco Center will tip off at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Duke went into its last game – Feb. 4 vs. North Carolina – having lost 7 of its last 8 against the spread, but the Blue Devils covered as a -2.5 favorite in a 63-57 triumph over the Tar Heels. DU held UNC to a 34.3% mark from the field; the Devils have held foes to a 34.4% mark over their last 3 games, all straight-up wins.
The No. 21 (Jan. 30 poll) Hurricanes have won 3 of their last 4, but the game before that stretch was a 68-66 defeat to this Duke squad in Durham. The Devils have won 6 of their last 8 against the ‘Canes, but Miami – a +4 in that earlier game (Jan. 21) – has won 4-straight series meetings against the number.
Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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Duke at Miami odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Duke +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Miami -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Duke +3.5 (-105) | Miami -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Duke at Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 74, Miami 71
Moneyline
Duke is worth the roll of the dice on the ML for the +140 payout. The win against UNC could spring them into a heater.
Take DUKE +140.
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Against the spread
The underdog has won 4 straight in this series, and this time around that is the play and it has value.
In meeting No. 1, Duke led by multiple scores for a big chunk of the 2nd half, and it led by 7 just inside the 5-minute mark. The Devils are a youthful bunch getting in a shooting groove of late (38.9% on 3-pointers last 5 games) and they are an exceptional offensive rebounding team.
That latter point cuts into a Miami deficit. Duke struggled with its inside shooting but still beat UM Jan. 21 with the aid of 14 offensive rebounds.
The Blue Devils find more success against teams that profile as offense-first. That fits the ‘Canes, and DUKE +3.5 (-105) is a solid leverage play.
Over/Under
Expect a mid-tempo game in the mid-140s. PASS.
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