The Miami Dolphins have done well through the first 13 weeks of the season, as they’ve put together a 9-3 record that has them in first place in the AFC heading into their matchup with the Tennessee Titans on Monday night.
With only five games left in the regular season, the New York Times has a playoff simulator that gives the odds of teams making the postseason, as well as if they’ll have a bye week, host a wild-card game or be the team hosted on wild-card weekend.
Based on 390,000 simulations, the Dolphins have better than a 99% chance of making the playoffs. With that, they have a 33% chance of being the top seed and securing a first-round bye week. They have a 66% chance of playing on wild-card weekend (63% as the host and 3% as the visitor).
A win over the Titans gives Miami a 37% chance of being the first seed, but obviously, other results could make their odds better or worse.
Now, the Dolphins will just need to beat the winning teams remaining on their schedule (currently the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys) to prove that they can beat some contenders and feel good about their upcoming battles in the postseason.