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The Detroit Tigers (63-76) and New York Yankees (70-69) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 5-1
New York won 4-3 as a -162 road favorite in Wednesday’s 2nd game of the series. The Yankees led 4-1 heading into the top of the 7th when the Tigers made a comeback push. Detroit scored 2 runs in that inning, but its comeback fell short.
Wednesday’s win extended New York’s win streak to 5 games. The Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 and 38-33 at home. Detroit has now lost back-to-back games, sitting at 4-6 in its last 10 and 34-36 on the road.
Tigers at Yankees projected starters
LHP Eduardo Rodriguez vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Rodriguez (10-7, 3.11 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 124 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 4-2 road win Friday vs. the Chicago White Sox
- Career vs. New York (regular season): 8-6, 3.76 ERA (122 IP, 51 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 24 appearances (22 starts)
Rodon (2-4, 5.70 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 42 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 6-2 road win Friday vs. the Houston Astros
- Career vs. Detroit: 6-2, 4.50 ERA (62 IP, 31 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 11 starts
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Tigers at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Tigers at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 3, Tigers 2
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Yankees to complete the series sweep, but at (-160) the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN TIGERS +1.5 (-155).
The Yankees have dominated the Tigers lately, but the games have been much closer than records would indicate. Two of the last 3 meetings and 3 of the last 7 have finished within a 1-run margin. Despite being 2-8 in the last 10 games vs. New York, the Tigers have kept the games competitive, making them the pick here.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).
The Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 Detroit-New York matchups, 7-2-1 in Detroit’s last 10 games overall, and 6-2-2 in New York’s last 10 overall.
For Rodriguez the Under is 4-1 in his last 5 starts overall and 2-1 in his last 3 starts vs. New York. For Rodon the Under is 2-0-1 in his last 3 starts vs. Detroit.
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