The Denver Nuggets (39-18) and Miami Heat (32-25) meet Monday at Miami-Dade Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Nuggets covered the spread as 7-point favorites Saturday in a 119-105 win at the Charlotte Hornets. C Nikola Jokic had a triple-double with 30 points, 16 rebounds and 10 assists as Denver ended its 4-game road skid. The Nuggets are 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games after covering in their previous contest.
The Heat covered as 1.5-point favorites Saturday with a 107-103 overtime win at the Orlando Magic. G Tyler Herro scored a game-high 23 points as Miami won its 3rd straight. The Heat are 1-5 ATS vs. the Nuggets in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
This is the 2nd meeting this season between the Nuggets and Heat. In the Dec. 30 meeting, the Nuggets covered as 4-point home favorites with a 124-119 win as the Over (224.5) connected.
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Nuggets at Heat odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Heat +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -1.5 (-110) | Heat +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Nuggets at Heat injuries
Nuggets
- F Aaron Gordon (rib) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (knee) probable
- G Tyler Herro (knee) doubtful
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) out
- G Victor Oladipo (ankle) out
- F Duncan Robinson (finger) out
- F Max Strus (shoulder) probable
- G Gabe Vincent (ankle) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 110, Heat 100
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets (-120) should win, but there is no need to buy the 1.5 points on Denver when it should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET NUGGETS -1.5 (-110).
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games overall. The Heat have struggled at home vs. the Nuggets in recent meetings and may be due for a letdown after coming back from a double-digit 4th-quarter deficit at the Magic on Saturday.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 219.5 (-108).
The Under is 5-1-1 in Denver’s last 7 contests away from home and 3-1-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage over .600. The Under has hit in 6 of Miami’s last 7 home games and is 4-1 in the Heat’s last 5 after covering in its previous contest.
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