Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons Week 9 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Denver Broncos (3-4) visit the Atlanta Falcons (2-6) Sunday of Week 9 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Below, we preview the Broncos-Falcons betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Broncos at Falcons: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:08 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Broncos +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Falcons -209 (bet $209 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Broncos +4 (-110) | Falcons -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

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Broncos at Falcons: Game notes

  • The Broncos are coming off an inspiring 31-30 home win over the Los Angeles Chargers last week. They trailed by 14 points entering the fourth quarter and won as time expired.
  • The Falcons got their second win of the season by beating the rival Carolina Panthers 25-17 on the road on Thursday Night Football. Atlanta improved to 2-1 under interim head coach Raheem Morris.
  • Atlanta is 3-5 against the spread and fails to cover by an average of 1.1 points per game. Denver is 5-2 ATS but is falling an average of 0.4 PPG below the line.
  • The Broncos are 4-3 against the Over/Under while the Falcons are 4-4 against the projected totals.
  • The Falcons (26.1) outscore the Broncos (21.0) by 5.1 PPG. Denver has the defensive edge with 26.1 PPG allowed while Atlanta surrenders 28.0 PPG.
  • Atlanta has a turnover differential of plus-2. Denver is second-to-last in the NFL with a minus-7 differential.

Broncos at Falcons: Key injuries

Broncos

  • CB A.J. Bouye (concussion) questionable
  • CB Bryce Callahan (ankle) questionable
  • DE Shelby Harris (COVID-19 list) out
  • RB Phillip Lindsay (foot) questionable

Falcons

  • WR Russell Gage (shoulder, knee) questionable
  • WR Calvin Ridley (foot) questionable
  • DE Dante Fowler Jr. (hamstring) questionable
  • DE Takk McKinley (groin) questionable

Broncos at Falcons: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Falcons 27, Broncos 20

Money line (?)

The FALCONS (-209) may be undermanned at receiver, but WR Julio Jones will be able to shoulder the load, especially with Denver’s injuries at cornerback. There’s better value to be had on the spread, but take the Falcons and their rest advantage for the outright win after Denver’s emotional Week 8 win.

Against the spread (?)

The FALCONS -4 (-110) will need to win by at least 5 points in order to cover the spread, and they should be able to relatively easily. Atlanta is best in the NFL in ESPN’s team pass rush win rate, while Denver is just 28th.

Over/Under (?)

Lean slightly to the UNDER 49.5 (-106) with a small wager. The Broncos overachieved with 31 points last week with two scores coming on plays of at least 40-yards against soft defensive coverage from the Chargers when the game was thought to be in hand.

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