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The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder meet in Game 5 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series Wednesday. The series is tied 2-2. Tip-off from Paycom Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Thunder won 100-96 as 1.5-point underdogs in Game 4 Monday with the Under (215.5) easily hitting. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a game-high 34 points for Oklahoma City, which came back from a 14-point, 2nd-half deficit.
Mavericks F P.J. Washington (21 points) scored 20 or more for a 3rd straight game, while G Luka Doncic had just 18, his lowest scoring output of this postseason.
The winning team has covered each game this series, and the Under has gone 3-1.
Mavericks at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:47 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Thunder -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-110) | Thunder -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mavericks at Thunder key injuries
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (ankle) probable
Thunder
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Mavericks at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 105, Thunder 104
Moneyline
The MAVERICKS (+145) should bounce back in a pivotal Game 5 with the series tied. Dallas is coming off a franchise playoff-record 13-block performance in Game 4 and had a 92.3% win probability with 10:17 remaining in the 3rd quarter, according to ESPN Analytics.
Blowing a 14-point, 2nd-half lead while playing well defensively is somewhat unlucky, and Dallas shouldn’t be downgraded this drastically. The veteran Mavericks, led by Doncic and G Kyrie Irving, should perform better under pressure Wednesday than the young Thunder — the average age on Oklahoma City is 23.4 years old.
BET MAVERICKS (+145).
Against the spread
The Mavericks should cover +4.5 (-115), but the more profitable play in this spot is the ML at plus odds.
PASS. Bet Mavericks ML and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
The Mavericks defense was suffocating in Game 4, and a veteran team like Dallas likely won’t drop off that much on the road. While Doncic has lost a step due to injury, Iriving has emerged as a surprisingly good defender and should lead this Mavericks defense to a 3rd straight impressive performance.
BET UNDER 213.5 (-115).
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